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[体育菠菜心得方法] 对盘口的分析
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1#
1、 根据基本面情况确定强弱定位
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) Z9 O! _7 J' H(1)对下游球队的战绩。* s! `. T1 h2 l5 F1 u1 q9 j
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(2)对中游球队的战绩。
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& ~& C+ h: [. k: m& n(3)对上游球队的战绩。7 x- S! i% c8 P- @

/ k' F8 B4 t# p(4)双方实力排名、历史交战记录
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4 d3 L  |/ `4 F一般以近4-10轮的战绩为对比,得出一个较为正常的实力倾向。% \' m' y- ~7 A, y+ A
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2、对比主客场胜率0 B8 ?3 t  }* F
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(1)主场胜率高于50%,主队不败可能较高$ n/ T+ N( H- d: @6 [2 ~
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(2)主场胜率低于50%。主队不胜可能较高
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% x$ K' k0 L0 C/ ~4 s3、亚盘盘型与实际盘口对照
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& }; y2 o& F- R% Y$ W, g  D(1)分析该盘口是实力盘还是心理盘。! l6 q# q( ]2 v6 v. W9 l- L  a
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(2)盘型平衡点0.925(投注均衡水位): l% U* n7 Q6 V2 b+ C" \3 m6 Q

0 C. Q) h  J3 H5 h1 M  j(3)盘型计算结果为上下盘(均为0.925水位),和局面大 . }. q+ I( c; a- [. f  I" i

  y3 A4 i- m. t$ K4 P(4)在符合盘型的情况下升盘,属于上盘力度较大
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4、主队升盘或者降水是否具备题材支持,分析上下盘题材对哪方有利。 $ U4 A/ [5 \( B, v3 {

- q. G1 K9 V4 E+ k7 P(1)若是心理盘,一般是某一方有相当的题材,那么具有相当题材的一方,容易
* X, c$ h0 c; X4 o/ \; X- |
9 n; t7 j' `; Y2 U! C' [( j成为热点。! F3 G; j9 f4 ]$ i* F5 q

  {; x: b7 C3 _) P) b# X. t7 i/ o(2)若是实力盘,一般是造盘题材占优方有优势,容易成为热点。
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(3)当主队没有绝对热度题材时,不应升盘。- m* o  N4 B, ^) K& W- Y

& S# x) F6 J* u( T(4)主客双方求胜欲望都很强烈,单方面升盘或者降水,该方向不出。4 k3 ]- e6 K! d( v% [$ g) A* Q' |

) _6 w4 p3 [6 M6 s(5)热度题材:人气、状态、主场、历史、保级升班、双线作战。; m5 P: Z5 z- W/ e; [4 M& a9 j( w
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5、确定受热方向+ m, W8 W' H2 q; c- Y
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根据上面题材分析后,若受热方走到高水,或走到低水而赔率不配合,均为不利。而维持中高水或高水,或者维持中低水,或者走到低水或升盘而赔率吻合,则有利。理由如下:
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4 Q/ U- _: f/ [* k5 x(1) 若受热方受热,必定通过不断变赔、变水并且保持吻合的方式来杜绝资金) C( ~, V/ m+ e! K
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流入。
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5 ?* p# e+ U; s5 V0 {(2)若受热方未能受热,则应维持在中水或低水位,在赔率配合下,保持稳定。
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(3)若受热方一直停留在中高水或高水,而不是走到中高水或高水,代表庄家做
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冷受热方,只要赔率支持,也是有利的。
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, j% ]; W0 @: e0 J  U(4)盘型与实际盘项符合,且水位均衡情况下,一方升水阻盘属于造热下盘,上
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盘出。
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(5)实际盘口大于盘型、水位远远高于盘型,水位不出。- j+ Y8 A! T( [5 A3 k
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(6)盘口与欧赔的吻合度。& s( c' l% }8 |3 u# ~
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盘赔差异0.05以内属于合理区间。+ m2 T" p! ^, P" b/ J* d) G* E% j

9 e1 M  W9 a7 t盘赔差异0.1-0.15属于非合理区间。; R2 `! \' z( z; q4 N4 s6 u
+ j" A. h8 @$ h: O9 e6 p; L
(7)初始赔率的低赔方始终都是首选项,临场赔率的下跌方应该作为次选项。如果赔率下跌的是两方,那么选择下跌后赔率更低的一方。
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: ?3 _3 {% X( X/ P6、最后检验阶段5 |; j$ f. C  ]& t6 W; ^3 k( S
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以上分析结束,以下即可做为投注前的最后一道工序:# v( g+ S% {/ [* j* u3 M2 w

$ T0 s0 R4 R3 v# F3 e8 j% j* d. ^(1)检查高峰期水位。1 B/ Z6 J: W: w+ {' ?* h8 P* t

# F$ v. [8 _) e) N- P(2)几大主流公司盘赔对照。5 O+ A' s; _9 t' M- r- V4 }+ r

- {2 l% ?' K& M- z(3)胜平负与标盘配置表对照搭配是否合理(可省略)。
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2#
正在学习中,谢谢分享了
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3#
学习了,虽然看的一头雾水!!
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要先知道盘口啊
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
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:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
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:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
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:hug: :victory:
:) :( :D :'( :@ :o
:P :$ ;P :L :Q :lol
:loveliness: :funk: :curse: :dizzy: :shutup: :sleepy:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
:hug: :victory: :time: :kiss: :handshake: :call:
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