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风投机构对加密初创公司 Blockchain.com、OpenSea 和 Yuga Labs 的估值分别为 140 亿美元、133 亿美元、40 亿美元。但随着加密货币市场的动荡，旁观者想知道这些高估值是否已成为过去。 3 m2 K5 \( E/ K. H( k2 w
尽管在过去一年里，投资者争先恐后要进入快速增长的区块链和投资 Web3 初创公司，但情况正在迅速转变。尽管交易仍在继续，但在当前加密市场的抛售以及与 Terra 生态稳定币 UST 和 Luna 的崩盘后，让我们感觉估值泡沫太大，风险投资界的一些人已经指出加密项目的估值已经超出了实际价值，并且正在回落。 Bessemer Venture Partners 的合伙人 Ethan Kurzweil 告诉《财富》杂志：“加密项目的估值在之前一段时间太火爆了，今年估值回归的可能性很明显。”
9 `/ W* g) w) f- u# {回顾今年前几个月，加密货币估值飙升。根据截至 4 月 21 日的 PitchBook 数据，风险投资支持的后期阶段加密和区块链公司的融资后估值平均上涨 91% ，达到约 40 亿美元。与此同时，传统的后期阶段公司估值平均下跌 14% 至约 6.98 亿美元。其中许多加密项目的融资达到了数亿美元，例如 NFT 市场 OpenSea 的 1 月份融资。 ( a% n# Z' J) B: h% i
Bessemer 的 Kurzweil 认为，目前对加密初创公司进行估值是绝对不精确的判断。“我认为，这可能会从这次修正中产生更高的精确度。”他建议道。
% _3 \4 K1 y# u3 R2 A U风投机构按照每季度市值计价，或者是公允价值进行投资业务。对于加密公司的股权投资，Multicoin Capital 的联合创始人兼管理合伙人 Kurzweil 和 Tushar Jain 表示，他们通常只会在有另一笔交易时才会按市值计价，比如公司筹集了另一轮融资。一方面，Jain 预计他们不会在加密创业领域出现太多估值下调：“我不认为加密领域会有太多公司进行融资。看到这种情况发生，我会感到非常惊讶，”他说，部分原因是许多加密公司在过去一年筹集了大量资金。相反，这些公司可能会进入“精简”模式以度过加密货币寒冬。 * b/ A, D1 I1 q' k9 y& U- z6 `
但在基金中持有流动代币的情况下（例如 Multicoin ），公司必须更频繁地标记这些投资。因为加密交易采取 7x24 小时制，比如 Jain 建议“每 30 秒”标记一次。因此，对于那些投资代币的风险投资公司来说，“加密货币流动性投资组合将与市场一起回落，”他说。
. s# B0 i' F0 w& ]0 A/ z但是，即使评估加密初创公司的价值是艺术而非科学，风投机构是如何计算出估值硬顶金额并评估投资的规模呢？他们如何确定一个加密项目能否为其合伙人带来 10 倍回报？ 《财富》杂志采访了三位风险投资人以找出答案。
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