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[lastpost] => 2644436 疑似Justin Sun钱包自2月12日以来已从Binance和DEX买入295,757枚ETH 1713766621 比推快讯
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以太坊合并即将到来，可能会带来经济混乱。随着我们越来越接近合并，以太坊工作量证明（我们称之为 ETH POW）硬分叉的传言正在浮出水面
这有很多原因，以太坊挖矿是一个价值数十亿美元的行业，每月为硬件矿工创造数亿美元的收入（有时数十亿美元）。对他们来说，不幸的是，一旦合并完成，矿工就会变得无用。他们将为维持业务而奋斗，将分叉以太坊并推动 PoW 替代方案
我们看到 Bitmex 在 ETHPOW 上推出了期货合约，让投资者可以推测这些代币的未来价格。以太坊 PoW 是否有价值是一个问题，但这个硬分叉确实为以太坊生态系统呈现了一种非常独特（并且可能是混乱）的动态
为每个人免费赚钱
早在 2017 年，比特币出现了继比特币现金之后的无数硬分叉，其中相当一部分比特币社区不同意增加网络区块空间的 SegWit 提案。结果，比特币区块链被分叉，比特币持有者以 1:1 的比例收到每条新链的代币
尽管这些链中的大多数已经变得无关紧要，但它们确实为比特币持有者创造了数十亿美元的财富。人们收到了这些具有市场价值的新代币，要么选择抛售他们新铸造的代币以换取更多 BTC，要么决定根据愿景继续持有它们
因此，以太坊也会发生同样的事情，对吗？
合并后，每个 ETH 持有者将按合并时持有的每个 ETH 1:1 获得 ETHPOW 代币
不过，以太坊和比特币之间有一个关键的区别。硬分叉比特币很简单，它只是存在于网络上的本地代币
相比之下，以太坊有一个完整的经济基础。网络上有数千种资产和数百种协议。如果它是硬分叉的，那么从技术上讲，所有这些相同的代币和协议现在也存在于新的 PoW 链上，而不需要得到在其上构建的实体/社区的直接支持。
如果发生这种情况，可能会导致合并前后市场的大幅波动
经济混乱
如前所述，当以太坊硬分叉时，网络上的所有内容都会被复制。
问题是，并非所有资产、协议或基础设施都将得到构建它的每家公司的支持。当然，你可以复制链上的代币和合约，但你不能复制支持它们的链下事物（人类、基础设施等）
这里有两个主要的例子：
法币稳定币（USDC、USDT 等）
像 USDC 和 USDT 这样的法定稳定币将被一对一复制，就像其他所有代币一样。问题是，USDT 和 USDC 银行账户中的现金并没有翻倍，两家发行商都不会兑现 PoW 链上的任何稳定币。也许他们将来会，但会在 PoW 链上重新发行稳定币
旧的稳定币代币将被扔进垃圾桶。你在以太坊 PoW 钱包中收到的所有 USDC 和 USDT 实际上都是毫无价值的
鉴于 USDC 变得一文不值，DAI——一种由 40% USDC 支持的去中心化稳定币——也失去了大量支持它的抵押品
流动质押代币（stETH、rETH 等）
另一个主要影响是流动性质押代币（Lido |
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