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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。
( C* _" h- P) lISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？
4 X/ \' E* a" `9 x5 o4 o+ \什么是ISDA？" O7 s0 o2 Z" {9 X5 n# ^
国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
+ T2 }. l9 Y: j营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约
$ R1 g) _/ U- Z) k- Z4 Z(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易
$ A! X( J$ c% z, r0 ^$ V @/ T双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市) r: x5 @: p4 Y0 y5 ~3 O. Y: |
场的正常发展。8 p! {; R5 K9 ^ w7 D
换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。
5 ^, v; n. s Z# d! f进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和
: m+ H- M1 k- c0 U9 FDigital Asset。
2 j3 `! E7 [9 L. }$ z" L加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？4 V& u$ s8 F/ w4 R
Digital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影2 D$ _4 H H: [1 `2 B1 [
响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。
/ R+ E9 P: ?! R% s+ L! n根据其推论：+ g% @2 ^% D$ Q: p
现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元
5 y( V5 b/ `" i, T \若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元
* A' _7 M, z u7 IXRP目前总市值为349亿美元5 n3 R; t: A+ e$ {) k' c. N
需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元
4 i5 j# [" Q: i" e而XRP目前币价为0.661742) V+ g v! O6 \
0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元
3 j5 n) N& A S1 T挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？
* `3 |9 k. b u不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎
2 V6 t+ H1 p1 y& i+ D8 X, q9 s3 p* u也未有极大的波动。
9 n0 N. d5 n3 l. M( w, M而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生! d* R3 X. I, n$ u' H) q
性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这
4 ~" W. S0 U, S8 C: }6 X2 u个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢" Q+ [# O' d& T! t0 `/ q. d; s
引导传统金融的采用呢？
4 z( N2 @) J; X9 W) M$ P& v
+ G4 _; n- }. B, n* \& {, d |
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