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- h. N }9 I: z. m# p9 ]) G一、百家樂常见的错误6 v% l% U v9 A5 J
% z9 ~9 c7 o4 i: ~0 t% p6 |
3的搭配机率是1/8，如果见持续3个不异的搭配，例如BBPBBPBBP之后用3式缆反买BBP（即PPB），中一口的成功机率是否1/8x/1/8x1/8x1/8=1/4096答案是否认的。由于持续3个不异搭配已经实际呈现，等于4096个搭配之中有4096–8=4088个搭配不成能呈现，只剩低余下的8个搭配可以呈现，所以胜的机遇率仍旧是7/8。现详细列出他们以便利理解：
1 W# i5 O! b( @( a# z
" A" `3 H# ?9 D9 b# s1、BBP，BBP，BBP，BBB
Q2 @7 u! t* `& [# i T& ^2、BBP，BBP，BBP，BBP
$ q- r- }+ w5 V2 K1 s3 ~: c3、BBP，BBP，BBP，BPB2 ~% n+ g3 C/ _; D* d% k6 v8 O
4、BBP，BBP，BBP，BPP ?) [, X* P- G9 @5 O
5、BBP，BBP，BBP，PPP
$ x( x0 Z% w1 w/ w9 C' ]) f6、BBP，BBP，BBP，PPB$ w5 c/ _/ w0 D9 E1 R/ p7 Z9 X: R5 L
7、BBP，BBP，BBP，PBP
2 h0 b3 _5 c- t" g8、BBP，BBP，BBP，PBB
+ I, j' b! Q+ O2 V
. g* H* {9 `* L) w7 x所以无论是什么搭配，当它已经实际呈现，它的概率必定是1。已经实际呈现的BBPBBPBBP概率是1，用3式缆买反的整体胜率依然是7/8。* b) a1 [9 r R, \" G
8 L- I0 N9 x( K0 _二、2式缆赌N搭配的错误有一个很自然的想法，之前开了例如BBBPB，跟着反买它即PPPBP去赢1个码,机遇率是1/32，死穴是反复的BBBPB。
- i5 S* v& \" N$ S. `6 f2 B6 l$ q/ s) ] Q/ p# ]1 f
为了节流金钱，好自然想到如果输了1口或2口才追，一来可以增加取胜机遇，二来可以节流金钱，所以便发生“同买分歧，分歧买同”的心理和策略。例如:见BBBPB，再见B，可能会认为如果买了第一口已经输了，余下四口用4式缆博赢一口的机遇会大一些；又或者等已出了二口BB才用3式缆博赢一口的机遇会大一些。现实上，这个策略是按比例裁减了一些胜及负的搭配来换取低成本:只见B才下注，便会错过8个BXXXX及8个PXXXX的搭配；同样只见BB才下注，便会错过12个BBXXX及12个PPXXX的搭配；所以这个策略亦没有提高风险回报比率，它的取胜机率完全由运用的式缆来决议，即2式缆=3/43式缆=7/84式缆=15/16。
a9 R( F b E三、结论2 @" H% n* c1 p/ a$ B, H
' M8 ~+ `& P) d" T/ v8 N% p无论等任何模式下注，如，PP后买B（拐弯法）；PPBP后买P连；PPBPPPBP后买P不连完全没有影响50%定理。
" _! {& D$ |" ?/ n# N, h" V* ^( n |
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