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[虚拟币交流]
2024比特币市场大揭秘！鲸鱼动向、投资机会一网打尽！（转）
[复制链接]
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未来一周值得关注的关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。 |/ Q/ A y) w( r( P
1 v. e# K& |( c$ y
过去一个月比特币的区间形成仍在发挥作用。
6 x; ^6 i% Z2 o7 g; E+ g) y! h链上指标显示投资者还不必担心下跌趋势。1月3日，比特币（BTC）出现大幅波动，当6 Y9 D) b/ `! ]5 }/ `
9 R* l5 o- l& E4 a/ e1 H
天价格下跌6.3%。尽管面临抛售压力，但未实现净损益（NUPL）等链上指标表明市场
7 Y: |2 @6 n% }! Y$ o6 ^8 D
# \( y: s# j( c! p& Q8 b0 B处于健康的看涨状态。, M% J' j- _9 R" r/ x; ?
. D' x$ \9 _2 K8 x, `# tAMBCrypto最近报道称Coinbase溢价正在上升。自9月份以来一直呈正值，但在12月中旬
* N% E6 F# y. c; z$ S$ ?5 o# H5 o0 j/ k4 ~
短暂跌至负值区域。这是Coinbase购买压力稳定的迹象，引发了机构投资者在比特币ETF
7 O; X2 I6 H3 `+ L
- l. \2 M7 Y# i! ?; x获批之前持续买入活动的猜测。
& s5 @; K$ q2 M0 @" w/ p6 [' o7 U4 J1 l i, g! g% [ |
AMBCrypto查看了其他指标来了解BTC的状况，评估公牛的可用弹药。自10月份以来，' g/ r( D. S* C( r! V
$ T% N# i V. D2 ]) z& h% X$ }) h2 dCoinbase溢价差距在大部分时间里都是正值。12月中旬跌入负值区域。它的推论已经被提, `' a5 T6 i3 y3 |
/ T6 c' m3 b- J$ X2 c# {
及，但它可以与其他指标相结合以提供更敏锐的洞察力。
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3 h! V5 N) K# }' X: I其中一项指标是稳定币供应比率，即BTC的市值除以所有稳定币的总市值。该指标的值较2 \) w$ U3 F. h# a
1 v! c: \" m6 J
低表示购买力较高。该比率自10月初以来一直在飙升，表明购买力一直在下降。BTC的强" k9 k% P5 i; w7 L+ d
/ L3 ^+ [! h5 `1 a) r" R" ^ n
劲需求导致价格从10月的2.6万美元上涨到12月的4.4万美元。
/ z- n- S; B! H* K+ M2 D' l: b
/ I8 s4 Y. k, y# I3 d3 D* o然而，该指标在过去一个月似乎达到了上限，表明市场参与者可能正在观望和等待。ETF
7 Q) A5 C5 W1 W( ]- K/ q2 Y8 ]. f# ~- K1 R$ |
申请、对其批准的争论以及对BTC价格的影响可能导致这种犹豫不决。
3 J3 u% d# `3 g6 P5 I7 i/ D- `& h. |. s0 F6 F
虽然比特币NUPL创2021年12月以来新高，但投资者不必担心。2023年12月5日，比特币! O8 O8 E. _; J7 p" k! b [) N. f
% A( Q2 F% E# I
NUPL攀升至0.5以上，这并不意味着逆转即将到来。相反，市场既不处于欣喜状态，也不
% b' E6 P6 ^) E) i9 N. a" w. X3 }' ]5 ~: i7 G3 _+ v. u3 |3 I
绝望状态。NUPL在过去的一个月里已经形成了一个平台期，这也与比特币最近几个月无法+ x4 O. g1 d p! o2 k8 z
4 y6 F6 @- T+ i; m
继续其上涨趋势有关。比特币流入交易所的增加是部分原因。9 f7 b# x$ i0 f
' z+ B$ {% B) u# S0 f/ A
" t3 A( k7 U! G5 O2 j" q' V因此，比特币持有者必须做好跌至区间低点甚至可能更低的准备。未来一周值得关注的
+ a5 D# L1 K! V7 W, r" [; s: }' x5 C+ s- }; b( v. n [
关键水平是42,500美元的中间区间和45,900美元的近期高点。2 o+ _ a! \& z4 ~, Y; }
, Z4 v: l: P+ {, D+ }# A {! m
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