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[lastpost] => 2646965 比特币网络钱包app苹果官网下载(导入tp钱包显示无效的私钥)(转) 1714694459 九嶷风
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当前离线
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总在线: 12044 小时
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首先回顾下本周发生的事情:熊:美国ZF开始将其查获的暗网电商丝绸之路的9 B! w N" S' _6 E
5 X2 }% N" R# I8 u" n5 N总计30174枚比特币转向了交易所,相关人士认为这是抛售的前兆,因此带来了恐慌," v) I* {4 W/ x; I" l1 W$ x7 Z3 i
* K# b2 p# [0 B; U( \, L4 ]
方舟基金,灰度基金都抛售了比特币。这导致币比特币一度跌到64500附近。
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牛:(1)Fidelity,Blackrock都在持续增持比特币,其中blackroak增持3100枚,
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$ Q$ s% ~2 B6 w7 GFidelity增持1100枚(2)神秘地址以100枚为单位疯狂购入比特币,越跌越买,四天
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3 M9 ~. c ]& |% }& M内抄底2170枚。个人猜测可能是某国ZF在买入,如果未来的有一天,某个国家ZF
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宣布其持续买入比特币,可能就是准备抛售,见大顶的时候(3)usdt4天内增发30亿
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, G. } n H B7 E- h枚,在过去的日子,以周为单位,USDT增发都会带来币价大涨聊完了新闻,我们回到. Q+ z# a& w5 o. @! L
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k线。首先看比特币:从日线上看,比特币在两个红色矩形之间(60000,72000)形成! x( H) s) R; k
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震荡,振幅逐步收窄,很快就要选择出方向。考虑HSEMA9逐步逼近蓝色EMA18,死: H$ K: d6 ~% X0 r0 G4 g
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叉一旦形成,上涨趋势会被破环,比特币将测试下方红色矩形6万的位置。因此,为了
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* {; i# ] X: ~避免死叉的形成,比特币需要快速反弹。反弹只有突破绿色区间71300的位置才可以确8 R. g* r0 o p5 v) M0 `$ a; r
5 ]7 e6 u4 g' R: @$ H8 }( _定一个更高的高点,从而走出下降趋势。如果无法站稳71300,再次测试60000只是时
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/ B) ~% ~# y W/ W5 V$ Q2 q2 ~间问题。如果6万不保,下方HS矩形是大支撑,也就是53000~50000的区间。个人认
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为这是最坏的情况,不认可一些人认为去3万。
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从4小时来看基本和日线一致,无需赘述。不过4小时的EMA200形成了一个比较强的支撑
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& @3 c/ E: l5 c- U6 ~. |,已经测试4次进行了反弹。本人也多次在EMA200做多吃到了短线涨幅。但考虑一个支撑
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% X$ U+ V( U$ E; f/ b/ b( T% i& a位被多次测试,那么其跌破的概率就越来越多。因此,如果比特币不能快速收复73100,
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& K' W: z* n5 d. eEMA200跌破只是时间问题,下一步就看60000的表现。
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考虑美股连涨5个月有短期见顶的信号,结合美国可能抛售的3万枚比特币。本人近期看空,
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$ O4 \5 @! g) O认为比特币至少会去次6万。
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0 Q9 Z& \7 }: s. z" R: c
抛售量这个也是很多的了吧 |
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