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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。3 q# t& c) r% C
美元抛售推高比特币; |. l0 q* n4 r% m+ O& @+ M4 Q
% F1 M6 w& J0 }/ ^5 k1 w3 U5 |* LGalaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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来的最低水平。
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8 M( f# O% C( L1 K“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”& J, a! S: P% Z/ f5 q1 I6 C
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' T; A0 ]. {% T) q根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。
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Amberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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/ A" c4 p/ E7 n2 f& |1 T6 R高黄金和比特币的价格。7 z8 N1 q J2 D* I/ U9 k1 V
- U# t8 X9 Q a3 Q1 j下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化5 C+ ~1 A+ v4 |) G( F5 X: L' {+ o
+ \1 q# W* S2 R8 V' x7 W3 M6 @剂。. T% H$ ~3 s* ~% y& a' e
. E9 @; K( N7 {: A这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。! S6 Y/ g" ~7 \
$ X$ l$ g8 t( Z/ i2 I这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破
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了8.7万美元。* D8 D |5 ^1 i. w0 y
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然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，9 f4 n: F% \9 @' T
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“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”% C! `# _" ?% k" f5 |9 c
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分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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) }1 |2 ~# p+ J {, |( K1 g, D“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”
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' B2 G( A( o/ e& cCryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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4 |4 q6 b4 W7 F* h易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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