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回复 8# wlj353400 2 u' M! F1 C/ ]! n# t* n
8 v) t& _" q, B3 T* t/ [
* R6 \# A5 O7 p3 `3 d( B. ^' ^ 你看看你每次都是你觉得，你觉得根本就是shit。对比一下两个人的地位和生活水平就觉得觉得怎么样了，这么不虚心 |
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同意 我自己也有做 牌面調查..8 U Q4 K4 B1 G) B- w$ q3 N
說也奇怪 的確某一方連續自然贏3場 甚至是兩場 優勢就會轉到反方 最少70%
$ o! v0 S }+ t- n# L S* ?
. `7 Y2 @' {: a# v' e |但這種機會不多 只能說該多多把握了! 比如天七對天6 天8對天9 或者例牌天8 天9即殺 一般人看到這種牌局 90%的人都會觀望好幾手 版主說的是另一個反向思維..大家幾乎天天WD的 可以做個記錄分析分析再行動! |
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回复 101# huyunzhou * ^& c' q% ?1 Y
# ]) y, I( l: n: }" v
" s) H0 b0 T( B3 l! j9 \- T
netural win = 例牌因為長期, 國外DC 工作 所以用了很英文專業用語 |
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怎么算出来的，很好奇。这个我的确算不出来，为什么是87%？算法是什么？ |
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第一部分: 不消牌的百家樂 連續三口 即贏 (netural win) 閒閒閒/莊莊莊 下局買相反如果閒莊閒, 下局 ...
! |; \: g$ d$ y4 k2 c! Uwlcomp 发表于 2011-7-22 11:16 
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K f9 b7 L- b. l$ y “連續三口 即贏 (netural win) 閒閒閒/莊莊莊 下局買相反”这个概率1-50%^3=87.5%，这个我懂，可是面两条也是那么算的么？下面两条应该是条件概率吧？应该是50%，welcom先生，小弟说得对么？请斧正 |
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回复 116# garysgarys
3 T. H1 A* N( b* b" H, |# W8 d9 f* d3 H
9 Z, @5 I$ f+ S 只例牌才是真正1/2, 所以三例牌之再連,或者再跳: 1/2^4=12.5% , 不發生的机會= 1-12.5%=87%
4 o" G7 r3 }, F3 K& s7 I
' }+ P+ U% h( U+ W" d用電腦做一百萬局是=65%左右, 因有"和", |
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回复 12# wlcomp , V. ~/ ~0 a. b
9 c: j; q, C0 {, q6 m
6 ^6 V/ P) S @7 S9 g( @ 这个我看明白了，直杀3次以后如果是您上面出的情况 ，胜率很高，是吧！这个有过实验吗？ |
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