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6.13币圈市场暴跌原因及后期走势分析
, f& E% Q8 o+ K9 H* k 美国5月通胀数据刷新40年新高,达到8.6%的增长,超过之前市场预期的8.3%,让之前的通胀见顶希望破灭,引发更加悲观的市场情绪。
- W+ p$ e3 ]1 G/ y, M 加密货币也受此影响,在周末纷纷下跌。
; k& ]2 }* [4 }7 x 而这也引发市场“鹰声嘹亮”的预期,对美联储下一次利息决议已有猜测,加息幅度或将大幅提高至75个基点。 8 {1 o6 S5 s- T7 X: a) p, X
这对加密货币来说,下行压力进一步增加。
- L5 K. Z; R# f8 P. b1 |3 m 加密平台企业发展和国际副总裁Vijay Ayyar表示,美国通胀数据正在帮助推动周末的下行,“我们很可能看到,这种看跌情绪会持续到下周,尤其是在FOMC会议即将召开的情况下。”
7 s' J: ~( s6 X' x! P$ s FOMC会议将于本月14-15日召开,并于北京时间下周四凌晨2点公布6月利率决议。 $ W& H" q# n5 Q7 S
Ayyar还表示:“如果回顾之前的熊市,比特币通常会下跌80%以上,而其他加密货币通常会下跌90%以上……如果情况仍然如此,我们在接下来的一两个月内,看到比特币的价格比现在低得多的情况。” / X( }" y) f) H% ^3 ?2 f1 O
根据的数据分析,周日多头加密货币清算总额连续第三天超过1亿美元,周五为2.58亿美元,周六为2.9亿美元。
. v; f, ~9 T, ~3 n# G' T 而MVIS CryptoCompare数字资产100指数已跌至2021年1月以来的最低水平,该指数追踪了100种市值最大的数字货币的表现。
Q- H* o0 R5 @& a: o& V# f: v 技术分析:
8 G1 z5 r) L+ u 1、在均线中,已经应证了前面的观点, BTC走出了一波阴跌的方式,所以当下已经符合下跌的标准了, 那就是币价已经在均线下方了, 均线再次形成了-波压力;
e( Q0 q5 `7 s. U$ j5 f 2、在boll中 , 近十来天整个的走势都是围绕着boll中下轨来运行的,从中出现了几次上攻全被打压下去,今日再次跌破下轨,那么就一定会去继续探底 5 | t3 J( R; ~ M X
3、在势能指标中,依旧没有任何反应,其指标完全钝化,所以不做分析;后续跌破震荡区间后才会出现有效的共振; # } O* p2 v) W% m
4、在量能中,在今日已经形成颓势,连续几天杀跌,能够明显的看到庄家在出货的行为了;同时0BV在6号触及了一波均线之后迅速下跌,同时现在在均线下方再次走入新低,所以确定性杀跌的动作符合;那么从以上几点就可以继续看到后期走势了;依旧看空为主。 3 ` v# I: S5 W8 l& w& S* _, h% f ?
俗话说的好:新手死于追高,老手死于抄底,切勿轻易抄底,
# d+ p a% e: L8 f; i$ d 【以上分析及策略仅供参考,具体操作以智胜实时策略为准,策略跟单、在线姐套、技术学习等 可咨询。】
/ M6 `/ R! I" `. T0 _ 大海航行靠舵手,币圈沉浮有智胜!追涨杀跌空欢喜,稳健盈利才是真! $ B0 g/ I" W9 Z: U8 e
智胜一直坚持用技术来解读指数的走势,仰不愧于天,俯不怍于人!无论分析的对错,请结合自己经验加工分析,赞成就多点个赞,反对请一笑而过。
- h" D/ R7 g* ?来源:金色财经 |
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