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[lastpost] => 2690804 CZ直言「比特币已死」纯属谬论，BTC冲击9万美元再现新高！ 1731603021 天策-瑶娥
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6.13币圈市场暴跌原因及后期走势分析 ; o8 ?! q' C; O* M- V, M; x, f/ N
美国5月通胀数据刷新40年新高，达到8.6%的增长，超过之前市场预期的8.3%，让之前的通胀见顶希望破灭，引发更加悲观的市场情绪。 4 M" e; H/ E# Q" \4 t2 M* j& }
加密货币也受此影响，在周末纷纷下跌。
$ {3 G. J6 E' X3 G G 而这也引发市场“鹰声嘹亮”的预期，对美联储下一次利息决议已有猜测，加息幅度或将大幅提高至75个基点。 - X7 M8 a) m- ^+ I
这对加密货币来说，下行压力进一步增加。
) Y& M _( M* _# u$ j8 _6 e; w 加密平台企业发展和国际副总裁Vijay Ayyar表示，美国通胀数据正在帮助推动周末的下行，“我们很可能看到，这种看跌情绪会持续到下周，尤其是在FOMC会议即将召开的情况下。”
/ C$ \- e" q1 L' U3 w FOMC会议将于本月14-15日召开，并于北京时间下周四凌晨2点公布6月利率决议。
/ W7 f# `4 N8 ~$ O Ayyar还表示：“如果回顾之前的熊市，比特币通常会下跌80%以上，而其他加密货币通常会下跌90%以上……如果情况仍然如此，我们在接下来的一两个月内，看到比特币的价格比现在低得多的情况。”
% O+ d, n9 q2 v' V( h" s0 ? 根据的数据分析，周日多头加密货币清算总额连续第三天超过1亿美元，周五为2.58亿美元，周六为2.9亿美元。 % [1 F: I4 f$ ?1 w, _& w0 P3 H
而MVIS CryptoCompare数字资产100指数已跌至2021年1月以来的最低水平，该指数追踪了100种市值最大的数字货币的表现。
% u0 M/ b9 s. |, U3 y 技术分析： & l. J$ C$ s" W
1、在均线中，已经应证了前面的观点， BTC走出了一波阴跌的方式，所以当下已经符合下跌的标准了， 那就是币价已经在均线下方了， 均线再次形成了-波压力;
2 C0 j1 E. }/ @( y9 S3 Q* b( T 2、在boll中 , 近十来天整个的走势都是围绕着boll中下轨来运行的，从中出现了几次上攻全被打压下去，今日再次跌破下轨，那么就一定会去继续探底
& M6 S2 F/ l0 N6 |/ m! T 3、在势能指标中，依旧没有任何反应，其指标完全钝化，所以不做分析;后续跌破震荡区间后才会出现有效的共振; 1 _4 a% k7 G. A4 X. G% ?, I
4、在量能中，在今日已经形成颓势，连续几天杀跌，能够明显的看到庄家在出货的行为了;同时0BV在6号触及了一波均线之后迅速下跌，同时现在在均线下方再次走入新低，所以确定性杀跌的动作符合;那么从以上几点就可以继续看到后期走势了;依旧看空为主。 ' M6 T( a: K) A' R* X+ N
俗话说的好：新手死于追高，老手死于抄底，切勿轻易抄底， ; b( ]8 D. Y$ Z( R3 A
【以上分析及策略仅供参考，具体操作以智胜实时策略为准，策略跟单、在线姐套、技术学习等 可咨询。】
: r6 V$ a+ J5 W" A! b- t& e6 L 大海航行靠舵手，币圈沉浮有智胜！追涨杀跌空欢喜，稳健盈利才是真！ , M- t; R6 s$ H% g
智胜一直坚持用技术来解读指数的走势，仰不愧于天，俯不怍于人！无论分析的对错，请结合自己经验加工分析，赞成就多点个赞，反对请一笑而过。
* t! M& d% K& o+ {6 B来源：金色财经 |
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