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[lastpost] => 2759756 加密货币采用仍处早期，对AI更为开放！（转） 1756091792 九嶷风
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当前离线
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总在线: 7219 小时
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过去一周，比特币[BTC]一直受困于低流动性流入，导致自 8 月 14 日重新创下历史新高以来已下跌 10%。" e$ S" p( _6 |& P, I
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值得注意的是，这种流动性枯竭通常预示着潜在的看跌情景，因为当市场达到季节性高潮时，投资者开始抛售资产。& m* F7 h" x5 K" R4 w+ L
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然而，新的宏观经济见解认为，尽管逆转的风险仍然存在，但市场仍然看涨。
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宏观信号依然支持
0 K0 Z. y2 u. X" H2 u! {2 n8 O# B( Z美国宏观经济指标阿尔弗莱克塔尔根据美联储金融压力指数 (FFSI)，比特币和标准普尔 500 指数在未来几天都有进一步上涨的空间。0 S& J# w# j, D4 m2 E5 ^9 Q$ C0 r* J
* ^8 {; Y9 N0 s! u该指数追踪市场紧张程度，高于 0 的高读数表示卖方压力，而低于 0 的数值则反映市场平静和购买兴趣。
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$ i/ U3 W% D( p$ [1 H从历史上看，该指标曾预测过重大的市场波动，包括2020年封锁期间。截至发稿时，FFSI低于0，预示着未来仍有增长空间。6 p9 u I c1 G' E9 v5 A' A
7 ~ {- J6 w; _ [# X市场情绪似乎更倾向于比特币而非标准普尔 500 指数，尤其是考虑到过去一年的表现，比特币上涨了 86.2%，而标准普尔指数则上涨了 15.3%。阿尔忒弥斯." Z% n# P; W6 R) O' y* B! h1 \
+ V( y0 [" W3 x- h v; z3 O这表明，如果购买恢复，投资者可能会将资金投入比特币而不是标准普尔，因为他们的风险偏好依然强劲。
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7 b0 d. u9 X& F% A! d著名加密货币分析师 Joao Wedson 最近将此描述为市场“平静/观察”阶段，但警告称“价格走势通常比宏观指标反应更快”，从而使资产处于灰色地带。7 @/ {0 p" k+ q/ ?! [0 c/ v/ e
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他补充道，
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“如果FFSI跌破并保持在0以上，这将是一个警告信号，表明美国局势可能不稳定，并直接影响风险市场。”
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# z& ^; l( N0 Q& @6 q% Q3 {韦德森警告称，随着我们进入 2025 年末和 2026 年初，这种情况可能会引发“亚洲主要经济体”更广泛的经济不稳定，从而可能阻止比特币的上涨。& ^+ o- @7 p; J
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他敦促投资者做好准备，以免措手不及。$ H! V' g0 c1 H
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亚洲比特币市场再度走强
5 V9 S, a+ R& [' W3 K7 i3 m亚洲市场正显示出复苏的早期迹象，随着韩国溢价指数达到 0.3，投资者再次对比特币进行买入。CryptoQuant.
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此前，该指数一直处于持续的下跌趋势中，并以红色标记。持续的上涨趋势可能会引发更多资金流入，尤其是来自新投资者群体的资金。" ? W) D# A& s+ L( J9 \0 l
& J8 d' X, a( f4 n# r" e相比之下，截至发稿时，关键市场指标 Coinbase 溢价指数已降至 0.017，这表明美国投资者正在增加卖方活动。. V: c' m, o" |
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然而，如果这一指标反弹，它可能会增强围绕比特币日益增长的看涨情绪。
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当前离线
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宏观偏暖，量弱，先小仓吧
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当前离线
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当前离线
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