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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
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[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
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[1757] => 第三方支付
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当前离线
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过去一周，比特币[BTC]一直受困于低流动性流入，导致自 8 月 14 日重新创下历史新高以来已下跌 10%。
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值得注意的是，这种流动性枯竭通常预示着潜在的看跌情景，因为当市场达到季节性高潮时，投资者开始抛售资产。
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: ^ K/ N& w' X' f$ y0 V& n然而，新的宏观经济见解认为，尽管逆转的风险仍然存在，但市场仍然看涨。9 @/ j/ n5 g0 j6 g; q
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宏观信号依然支持5 |7 Z! H) t% K& S( n
美国宏观经济指标阿尔弗莱克塔尔根据美联储金融压力指数 (FFSI)，比特币和标准普尔 500 指数在未来几天都有进一步上涨的空间。
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该指数追踪市场紧张程度，高于 0 的高读数表示卖方压力，而低于 0 的数值则反映市场平静和购买兴趣。
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从历史上看，该指标曾预测过重大的市场波动，包括2020年封锁期间。截至发稿时，FFSI低于0，预示着未来仍有增长空间。: |. T) [9 m& V* e
7 Y( U, E3 P% y, o6 ^市场情绪似乎更倾向于比特币而非标准普尔 500 指数，尤其是考虑到过去一年的表现，比特币上涨了 86.2%，而标准普尔指数则上涨了 15.3%。阿尔忒弥斯." Y! r4 @5 n$ W; K. P
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这表明，如果购买恢复，投资者可能会将资金投入比特币而不是标准普尔，因为他们的风险偏好依然强劲。5 m! y0 G1 ]# `
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著名加密货币分析师 Joao Wedson 最近将此描述为市场“平静/观察”阶段，但警告称“价格走势通常比宏观指标反应更快”，从而使资产处于灰色地带。: M2 O0 c. l6 l: W. ]
H; {) H# X/ s8 R! `) W5 h他补充道，8 e& [+ i+ o* e& s
V3 k1 d3 d) x' m' a5 W“如果FFSI跌破并保持在0以上，这将是一个警告信号，表明美国局势可能不稳定，并直接影响风险市场。”5 B& R, B' M) i( R, M! Z; a+ @; h- o0 \
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韦德森警告称，随着我们进入 2025 年末和 2026 年初，这种情况可能会引发“亚洲主要经济体”更广泛的经济不稳定，从而可能阻止比特币的上涨。, ?0 ?1 z2 I" f$ Y: D* S
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他敦促投资者做好准备，以免措手不及。" g* l8 G# h% I( [2 l
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亚洲比特币市场再度走强# B+ |3 w8 J& o+ ]8 |5 w, J
亚洲市场正显示出复苏的早期迹象，随着韩国溢价指数达到 0.3，投资者再次对比特币进行买入。CryptoQuant.# c2 L% I4 X' s
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此前，该指数一直处于持续的下跌趋势中，并以红色标记。持续的上涨趋势可能会引发更多资金流入，尤其是来自新投资者群体的资金。
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2 u6 G, [3 J4 }! B' G6 `! M! B9 v: ^- J相比之下，截至发稿时，关键市场指标 Coinbase 溢价指数已降至 0.017，这表明美国投资者正在增加卖方活动。2 z, M# g9 |* ^/ y
9 r7 [7 N7 b2 `8 H, e5 {. s然而，如果这一指标反弹，它可能会增强围绕比特币日益增长的看涨情绪。, }) A; n- Z( y2 ?2 X' U+ r( _
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
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策小分:
总在线: 15050 小时
本月在线: 336 小时
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宏观偏暖，量弱，先小仓吧
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当前离线
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总在线: 13443 小时
本月在线: 44 小时
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当前离线
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策小分:
总在线: 19368 小时
本月在线: 63 小时
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当前离线
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本月在线: 18 小时
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当前离线
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天策币:
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策小分:
总在线: 156 小时
本月在线: 10 小时
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当前离线
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总在线: 4809 小时
本月在线: 5 小时
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当前离线
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总在线: 2919 小时
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当前离线
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天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 50 小时
本月在线: 4 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 18221 小时
本月在线: 10 小时
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 156 小时
本月在线: 10 小时
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这种行情，我还是宁愿相信宏观信号，继续看涨比特币。 |
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