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比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 7 r' [* X* R% c' ]* K* s
, p# b8 Y" B5 B/ |监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，6 x; n1 U6 ^% F. e' k/ R$ Q) \
/ I( s j% q* M* v专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
/ g+ \3 r. {2 F5 v3 ~9 i8 y! U6 e0 }4 k0 O6 J' i
有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技5 y+ N7 k# Q+ l+ t _) [
# X; u5 T# H# j. h3 P; N
股等风险较高的投资。 ( B! _# c( ?, ]7 @9 C! ~- ^
# V" `( I/ M J }4 N$ A: \芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储- \' z: J8 W( q, c2 f$ a
' c. S! f* q3 s' }' ]2 B
明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。
8 Y7 B! x$ t# P( Z8 d& t, c* J h+ S8 r8 z8 Z% V7 V2 u6 P/ |2 f& c
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动( r; K* ]" |0 t' n6 _" O! T' `
7 j: \. V) C0 y4 `
因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 4 O' ]- g6 W0 [' j
( {" M. \2 x# s9 N& e* m
从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。 5 W) u- N0 b& N8 R, M
9 s1 b. q0 _3 v
更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此) b! t# h1 n" e: t/ I! X" z% s7 X+ D, {
- e5 R1 c( _+ R Q$ l: G' e仍有许多交易商可能买入。 8 d( s, i6 J" _( g0 [; V
0 |, s4 z3 \0 q$ f( w0 @ r" g库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
" u; j6 f( T1 [& S" A: Q9 _
- s/ y6 f, ]/ w5 J1 ^% P: _推动力之一。
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5 {9 F, O @9 P, _5 Z
有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 3 ~ U6 i6 E! s# W& l1 x
! p) W! W7 q f2 x' D/ \1 M% f需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 - g+ v; c% h: K7 b6 V
1 O# I# ^" M1 c& A- A$ ?( x
加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣. |0 }6 }, c6 G; i( h% E6 L
: Q7 M- D# `. B7 r
的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
j4 G, r2 v% d/ e) ^+ E! f7 o& ?! @
数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
" W! q4 l: a* B
; Y" S; [9 Z5 b. l: s! X今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 ' H9 F2 b/ P* A: }; z
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