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[lastpost] => 2797658 比特币现金在2025年上涨30%后趋于降温，零知识证明的公平代币发行计划（转） 1768538753 垂钓园
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- z) K6 t1 v# ]. {2 k% g* |3 j$ [3 X比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 " q2 [: M3 q2 t
. `) ]7 F* r; i- Z* ?6 r
监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
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专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 & u8 h4 p& L; P' C
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有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技# d1 k( u: \ | e( @" b6 \+ a1 h
8 k) ~( T2 E9 d" [9 l股等风险较高的投资。 9 Z6 v5 h) V: j( r- O" s
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芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
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- J' |: Z0 Q! \1 P明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 . G8 W: j+ U9 f$ {8 v; F0 P
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现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动: |5 n+ C3 F: b7 X, X; D
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因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
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从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
# z. U- l- l% u( |4 A; Y8 |1 }3 w1 v3 e$ ^+ m9 A
更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
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仍有许多交易商可能买入。
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库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的! M" L$ K6 f s# |
8 R; H, G& L3 p4 y+ F推动力之一。
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7 [* A- X* t6 z2 d1 m2 b02
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8 V: E& \, @: A0 m有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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; f7 O: ?. l9 R5 P需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣7 W& X3 \7 ~6 {; l1 U) {
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的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” - w' a5 {, F4 z7 n+ P
3 u' N' @8 T& t& ~4 S数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至# p. v8 F4 ]3 Z0 m% p' S! @
, J0 y1 p( ]# ]" z" n% i) d1 _今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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