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& ^+ m& V$ M( l x& P6 B/ t2 d比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 ) R, f8 `7 h& l
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监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，8 H. h, u' M7 m. K, {- p+ @
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专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 ( C* w& |4 H) c7 m9 A, }4 Y
# f8 y5 H; Z0 |: L% ~5 @有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技& n, r8 F7 K8 t$ E
6 [1 O- y: R: b% q' d: D/ |股等风险较高的投资。
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7 f T1 C* l/ a. x* D8 m芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储% {8 r% ?% K- l2 [4 Y; s5 A
/ s* A3 |; a9 `+ s明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。
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现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
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因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 ! c3 Q7 J0 k) [6 M+ P, y5 \- z- O( R" `
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从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
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更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
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4 k2 R- ?1 N8 K3 e9 \) J仍有许多交易商可能买入。 7 e4 B" m! }5 N8 ]% m
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库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的' }0 G8 Z! d0 c1 H' M2 S" e
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推动力之一。 ) n4 L/ Y1 { x, I
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02
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5 g, J+ B# U: A* d7 f# s有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
+ \" \6 ]) a ^$ q5 j, r5 S; F. }7 g& |% i1 y; u
加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣9 v3 v! k& T6 x' E9 p
' E# U. W1 Y3 Q0 ?+ |, G4 \的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” & q4 i1 L% h8 h2 M- ?) b% {$ |
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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