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; {+ v0 c) H( v2 [4 [& r比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 " e+ X4 j8 F/ v3 h: F9 H
5 E: v, m$ Q3 [, C' y9 s# N监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
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专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 9 |. b; K! I+ o
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有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技$ g( d: P; a5 m. v
3 R: B4 r& Y J# | e, n股等风险较高的投资。
2 Q- u9 x( H0 B+ e ?# }( `
f& B0 g3 s$ [ C* P" \6 c芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储9 G6 @2 L3 M6 O6 R* E
1 X+ L: U3 ~% A明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 " A+ h2 H# Q- H W; \
, ~! k: a1 b" p
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
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因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
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从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。 ; x% Q! b1 C2 N, f D
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更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
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N' P; E/ z) c" `仍有许多交易商可能买入。 . N5 S) w) I8 z
9 F4 J, `6 @' E4 t: Q$ }8 z7 P1 J库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
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. q2 X4 k9 }- i3 R; k ~1 U1 m推动力之一。
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$ C: ?* Q- }: `( R) a' W( l02! f$ Y! G( z2 D( G! Z5 s8 V
3 {6 y* i5 c; u* G) x- A9 T: f7 O有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 ' e9 j8 T' O: \: H
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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/ b) Q1 u! L2 C; b5 _加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣' n& |1 K/ |( ]- s z5 j
* V7 ]/ k; b1 c" c2 Y( f的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
+ @ [" V/ G, o" A
% N8 A3 i% V& I: o今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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