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- {2 C) c/ C" X. W" X# X: Z# f8 e比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 # Y, W U9 [" @/ I0 C
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监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
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0 Q4 a+ w) r1 R& w% Z专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 1 y$ t9 L2 s) [" [( M) Z2 D+ j3 C
9 B$ b: R5 U, o# N2 |有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
# v6 `" w+ s! Z1 d F7 G& t, c7 I9 \0 O5 R& s- o
股等风险较高的投资。
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8 }+ e4 l6 c8 Q" _+ J芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储& M& s8 i! }3 g, z8 `
% \8 d {' Z6 F% ^9 D
明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 : z s# a$ l( _* C; q5 [
. Y+ \' U& }, {* ? g现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动6 t: K* |3 Q1 N2 x0 ]& ~
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因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
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7 {4 [9 J5 W# A% b, S$ o1 l% M" m从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
" ?" H3 M i8 d
$ D$ M. \$ {: Y1 c更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
# A1 N0 s6 @% w* S& ]7 @: Q1 V* g; e# e
仍有许多交易商可能买入。 ' z9 k2 p! e' d2 F a
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库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的, `0 U& z1 s9 O( f) h3 @
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推动力之一。
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有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 ' K5 d2 @' `, M# @( S" T
* f7 A* h6 f$ |8 A* |- j0 Y; p& W需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 ) E0 U+ x; G. Q1 W+ C. t* m+ q
; _) Y: m% ]" R8 r加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣* i6 W- F& c, {
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的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
+ j3 B/ ~2 t" D2 a: z' d2 s2 i% u# N3 c3 `3 o
数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至7 f4 o: J/ t' C
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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