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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。: e0 J4 Q; [9 H! k
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由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。
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比特币重新分配正在进行. U8 R4 L: N9 L% c0 M" f) v, N5 e
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目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。6 o% j4 q" v3 r* d3 u8 W, I/ C
8 M! _. f% `6 {# U目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。& y/ ]" a& i/ X8 ^
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然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。
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7 }2 @) }9 s$ ]! l) ?+ ?根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。7 I. E7 `- X1 N8 O B( D( k1 P- `
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通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。
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" ~8 j( p% `8 ?+ Y仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。3 p& i& ^8 [; B- {9 K
! h8 }0 ]1 [# m7 p当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。
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比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微
5 k- Q/ N, B& c; p! qCryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。9 Y* e6 ^# @: O
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本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。* X; k F7 x5 [ c! q6 g: n
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+ X) A0 d, Q& W9 j9 ?9 O一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。" Y8 Z7 F- t2 X4 y8 l
$ @6 e8 G$ V, X. t6 x7 }现货交易商调整
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现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。
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仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。, k# z+ s! ]5 N6 M
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7 e) R8 S8 v1 W0 R- c1 }8 {0 @$ ^1 W如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。
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