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[虚拟币交流]
比特币再次瞄准 10 万美元 – 看涨势头能否刺激投资者？（转）
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比特币 [BTC]开始采取行动夺回 100,000 美元的区域，截至发稿时，交易价格低于 98,215.61 美元，而过去 24 小时内价格小幅上涨了 0.42%。
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7 @- b* p8 `8 C* e由于市场上大量投资者、现货交易商和矿工的看涨情绪日益高涨，预计涨势将持续，并有可能将 BTC 带入图表上的标记区域。! x5 J- H% H+ N
- t$ M* G7 K7 G4 L6 V) t比特币重新分配正在进行' L' u. j0 H: c
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目前，市场上的比特币正在重新分配。这意味着持有更多 BTC 的市场参与者群体正在转移。( }) Y9 Z% k4 H. f( |
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目前，这种转变已经从持有至少 1% 流通 BTC 供应量的鲸鱼转向另外两类：持有少于1 BTC 的虾类和持有100-1,000 BTC 的鲨鱼。. W) S$ ^8 O' s3 e7 c& B9 o
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然而，鲨鱼却占据了领先地位。+ l3 Y4 C5 d5 j, {6 x
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- e6 M4 F4 p7 ~# S+ c1 f根据 Glassnode 的数据，比特币鲨鱼目前占据 20% 的主导地位，这意味着他们积累的 BTC 比任何其他群体都多。
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) m2 ]- }1 h4 @& c4 K1 s通过这种重新分配，特别是在小型和相对大型持有者之间的重新分配，表明这些群体的信心正在增强，他们可能将 BTC 跌破 100,000 美元视为买入机会。& f E& s' Q' q" U+ q" ?% e m
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仔细观察比特币的 NUPL（净未实现利润/亏损）可以证实这一看涨趋势。
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8 K! j& R9 N- t" S# e当时，NUPL 显示市场处于“信念”阶段，或看涨持续阶段，截稿时读数为 0.556，表明整体购买活动活跃。. @( Y) J9 @$ n
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6 `7 e n! w" P0 O% V比特币矿工实现的利润微乎其微 c/ f4 J7 V5 l- m0 Q: K- P& |
CryptoQuant 上的矿工持仓指数 (MPI) 表明，在维护区块链完整性方面发挥重要作用的比特币矿工正在逐渐抛售。
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( I6 h+ v' L& o7 I. D4 c- P本文撰写时，MPI 读数为负 0.8，表明抛售压力较低。这表明矿工可能正在获利回吐以弥补运营成本。6 U6 M7 w1 D3 F6 P3 u8 O
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一旦此阶段结束，这些矿工可能会逐渐开始再次购买 BTC，增加他们的投资组合并为市场带来潜在的看涨压力。! s3 D0 R, k7 z
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现货交易商调整, B+ Z- N: A% i, A5 S0 f3 L
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现货交易商开始顺应市场情绪，因为最近几天 BTC 的购买活动非常活跃。! V7 r$ x7 \1 t9 i
' P( `/ N0 S) h; D% f6 ]9 t仅在过去 24 小时内，Exchange Netflow 数据显示，从加密货币交易所购买了 1,100 BTC，较前一天购买的 262 BTC 大幅增加。 k2 a$ Q8 m7 |$ @
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如果这种购买趋势持续下去，则表明现货交易商的看涨情绪将明显转变，与 BTC 投资者团体和矿工当前的情绪一致。: o; N& R5 S5 S
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