×
Array
(
[fid] => 6929
[description] =>
[password] =>
[icon] => e0/common_6929_icon.png
[redirect] =>
[attachextensions] =>
[creditspolicy] => Array
(
[digest] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 0
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 1
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 3
[fid] => 6929
[rulename] => 加精华
[action] => digest
[fids] => 6966,6903,6944,6958,6874,6894,6896,6885,6857,6868,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929
)
[post] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 5
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 1
[fid] => 6929
[rulename] => 发表主题
[action] => post
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6762,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,6905,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6815,6937,6943,6970,6869,1121,6934,6903,6974,6944,6958,6874,6894,6765,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6882,6900,6902,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929
)
[reply] => Array
(
[usecustom] => 1
[cycletype] => 1
[cycletime] => 0
[rewardnum] => 0
[extcredits1] => 0
[extcredits2] => 0
[extcredits3] => 0
[extcredits4] => 0
[extcredits5] => 0
[extcredits6] => 0
[extcredits7] => 0
[extcredits8] => 0
[rid] => 2
[fid] => 6929
[rulename] => 发表回复
[action] => reply
[fids] => 32,52,67,447,1120,1151,1156,6750,6763,6766,6769,6772,6773,6787,6796,6808,6809,6810,6813,6814,6820,6829,6830,6846,6856,6864,6865,6827,6930,6931,6776,6858,6880,6764,6932,6871,6758,1116,6788,6812,6798,6736,6759,6842,6966,6767,6828,6924,6935,6936,6938,6940,6941,6826,6909,6803,6919,6911,6908,6881,6920,6912,6913,6921,6925,6922,6789,6818,6819,6872,6928,6866,6969,6891,6889,6888,6917,6939,6947,6961,6824,6815,6937,6943,6970,6869,1121,6934,6903,6974,6944,6958,6874,6894,6765,6896,6885,6857,6868,1113,6778,56,6844,6878,6802,6933,6811,6923,6877,6875,6918,6892,6757,6832,6833,6836,6790,6838,6794,6791,6795,6793,6848,6837,6849,6850,6851,6852,6853,6854,6863,6900,6902,555,6783,6799,6845,6895,6817,1111,6873,6870,6821,6951,6879,6876,6948,6904,6950,6956,6862,6886,6957,6779,6907,6855,6945,6952,6954,6955,6959,6914,6965,6971,6972,6960,6953,6942,6910,6949,6962,6963,6964,6927,6926,6973,6728,6929
)
)
[formulaperm] => a:5:{i:0;s:0:"";i:1;s:0:"";s:7:"message";s:0:"";s:5:"medal";N;s:5:"users";s:0:"";}
[moderators] =>
[rules] =>
[threadtypes] => Array
(
[required] => 1
[listable] => 1
[prefix] => 1
[types] => Array
(
[966] => 每周话题
[968] => 每周要闻
)
[icons] => Array
(
[966] =>
[968] =>
)
[moderators] => Array
(
[966] =>
[968] =>
)
)
[threadsorts] => Array
(
)
[viewperm] => 9 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 19 31 67 68 69 73 75 76 81 83 84 87 89 90 91 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 7 8 92
[postperm] => 38 58 66 74 79 85 86 1 2 3
[replyperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[getattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[postattachperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[postimageperm] => 26 22 11 12 13 14 15 27 43 44 60 61 62 63 64 67 68 69 73 75 76 83 84 87 33 38 57 58 65 66 74 77 79 80 85 86 1 2 3 92
[spviewperm] =>
[seotitle] =>
[keywords] =>
[seodescription] =>
[supe_pushsetting] =>
[modrecommend] => Array
(
[open] => 0
[num] => 10
[imagenum] => 0
[imagewidth] => 300
[imageheight] => 250
[maxlength] => 0
[cachelife] => 0
[dateline] => 0
)
[threadplugin] => Array
(
)
[replybg] =>
[extra] => a:2:{s:9:"namecolor";s:0:"";s:9:"iconwidth";s:2:"60";}
[jointype] => 0
[gviewperm] => 0
[membernum] => 0
[dateline] => 0
[lastupdate] => 0
[activity] => 0
[founderuid] => 0
[foundername] =>
[banner] =>
[groupnum] => 0
[commentitem] =>
[relatedgroup] =>
[picstyle] => 0
[widthauto] => 0
[noantitheft] => 0
[noforumhidewater] => 0
[noforumrecommend] => 0
[livetid] => 0
[price] => 0
[fup] => 6831
[type] => forum
[name] => 每周热闻
[status] => 1
[displayorder] => 4
[styleid] => 0
[threads] => 266
[posts] => 19738
[todayposts] => 0
[yesterdayposts] => 0
[rank] => 21
[oldrank] => 21
[lastpost] => 2404687 ❤天策每周热闻❤2021年8月22日—8月28日(8月第4期) 1630374797 hiu
[domain] =>
[allowsmilies] => 1
[allowhtml] => 1
[allowbbcode] => 1
[allowimgcode] => 1
[allowmediacode] => 0
[allowanonymous] => 1
[allowpostspecial] => 21
[allowspecialonly] => 0
[allowappend] => 0
[alloweditrules] => 1
[allowfeed] => 0
[allowside] => 0
[recyclebin] => 1
[modnewposts] => 2
[jammer] => 1
[disablewatermark] => 0
[inheritedmod] => 0
[autoclose] => 0
[forumcolumns] => 0
[catforumcolumns] => 0
[threadcaches] => 0
[alloweditpost] => 1
[simple] => 16
[modworks] => 1
[allowglobalstick] => 1
[level] => 0
[commoncredits] => 0
[archive] => 0
[recommend] => 0
[favtimes] => 0
[sharetimes] => 0
[disablethumb] => 0
[disablecollect] => 0
[ismoderator] => 0
[threadtableid] => 0
[allowreply] =>
[allowpost] =>
[allowpostattach] =>
)
|
|
抢楼
|
本帖为抢楼帖,欢迎抢楼!
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 749 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了,下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 749 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
; L# Y. G: s* |有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 1824 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50,输赢各半的结果,但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。% A8 R! V+ k5 k% _2 E' b2 L7 y1 {
2 Z. o' b$ y4 ]3 t6 n8 \4 W
这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50,输赢是对半,但是我们真正玩起来,许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
! V) i- Z: H8 Q
, b6 l: ]3 M, ]% H/ F; I为什么?
) Z5 w# b" D7 d1 z0 M' y: E+ N- R- b0 X
1、因为下注的次数太多了(任何人都逃不过5050)。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。0 b# d( T4 y$ i) }" ?
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样,也可能是5050。3 D$ c. u+ S/ h. m% o; F7 N
假如你只有最后一个码了,而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
+ H, E5 }" N k! ^ 第一把赢,你有两个码,平注,无限继续下去的话,你输光的概率是1/4
/ u/ E* X# Y) F0 W3 T3 J 第一把输,你没有了。
6 p) W' t3 j2 N3 p t 第二把赢,你有三个码,平注,无限继续下去的话,你输光的概率是1/8。
/ y d# w8 j9 A9 s5 S: n 第二把输赢,你还可以继续。。# R1 l& f8 m. j. Y6 z7 r# |' K' k
…………无限下去。
3 w% Z7 a; G* o n! A7 R" U清袋的概念,不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
1 D: \1 [" {& b2 J0 L9 S
1 M& L/ g& I: G* S8 P4 u* J8 K是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
" a; w* T) H: S) h6 y) m% q* b# _+ R" _
这就是总是输的原因。。
* _+ D" ^. E- u$ A( G. v: ]& ]% {
' y) G1 e3 o# L' J w$ x为什么我还要继续玩下去呢??
3 U( s; e; \) q: }# H8 q! p: ~
! B7 v) Z, @' e0 j+ ^ E1、我觉得可以打偏差。- {( w) P8 y- p/ R
2、存送1%,返水1%,加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
* a) p- o$ b/ h3 ?5 k1 B5 [7 T4 q4 g% w
但是,这,,,只是理论,实践考虑的因素更多。。
9 Q) h4 a1 N( O3 V4 p
; V( i8 N: K: i人的心态不可控,人的行为不可控,人的习惯不可控。。 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 487 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择,所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择,运气不好的话,就会连续选择错误,也就是连黑了 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 5818 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
|
|
5050 的说法是不对的,在正常的不作弊的情况下,庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 12068 小时
本月在线: 26 小时
|
|
菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半,庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了,反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
|
|
|
|
|
|