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[lastpost] => 2650620 比特币的VWAP“零”震荡指标上涨,牛市到来百倍机会点在哪?(转) 1716304204 如梦的生活
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币跌破60000美元!减半事件还能令市场重现“升”机吗?(转)
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财联社4月18日讯(编辑 马兰)中东上周末的交锋短暂支持了加密货币市场的繁荣,但到周三,这种由恐慌和忧虑情绪推动的币价反弹已经完全被抹去。! r+ T) |1 T5 C" `
1 p& e* s9 G) c$ ]: }5 a 周三早些时候,比特币价格一度暴跌至59900美元,创下3月以来的最低价格。截至发稿,该加密货币价格稳定在61000美元上方,而过去7天,比特币价格已经累计下跌了12%以上。0 ^; R5 ~* u6 n; K9 X* `" B& y
: R4 s4 F0 q5 u3 y) o 按市值计算的第二大代币以太币同期也跌破了3000美元,24小时内跌幅达到2.5%。其他加密货币中,Solana在过去7天内暴跌22%,Avalanche下跌28%;一些更小型的代币过去一周的跌幅则暴跌超过30%。
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0 v, L8 G- l+ X" k 加密货币市场几乎全线失守,多个跟踪代币市场的指数均出现亏损,而追踪较大代币的CoinDesk 20指数下跌1.8%。: ~ u) K; ?2 Q+ |- u
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周三的下跌代表着加密货币在上个月达到顶峰后正在经历一个冷静阶段。Glassnode数据显示,比特币已较最新历史高点下跌超过15%,而一些山寨币则较近期高点回落了40%-50%,这与之前的加密货币牛市回调并无不同之处。: i( s& k/ @2 c" a
; l- ~: b: i% t! ~6 `* r3 V 疲软仍将继续- b7 @2 w S$ y+ r
0 G [- ?- N W7 f LMAX Group市场策略师Joel Kruger周三表示,比特币投资者的行为表明,市场疲软可能会持续一段时间,因为大型投资者尚未准备好现在就逢低买入。% y% w% Q% t. `- F" t& c
\8 K. `2 Q! f) l9 {6 J 他指出,最新的区块链数据显示,比特币的大户持有者不愿顶着当前下跌的风险买入,这表明在比特币准备好回升之前,市场仍可能会看到更多的下跌或盘整。: w- Y/ l& Y" e! V
. e5 d l0 j# E) ~ Q7 E, n# O 他补充说,比特币目前值得关注的关键技术水平是 59000 美元,这是一个重要的支撑区域。如果比特币能够保持在这一水平之上,那么它将继续有能力冲击新纪录高点和10万美元的目标。
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但他也警告,如果市场看到更多的下行压力,如比特币价格跌破59000美元,这将打破短期看涨前景,并为回调进入450000-50000美元区间打开大门。
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减半事件是止跌良药吗?/ x9 P# X" Y t9 Z6 G
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而比特币减半预计在本周五或周六发生,历史上看,三次减半事件后比特币的价格分别飙升了约10倍、2倍和6倍。但今年这一次由于地缘ZZ紧张局势和比特币ETF的影响,导致风险水平升高,情况有所不同。
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市场上不乏有人因看到近期比特币已涨到历史高点而对减半事件带来的涨幅持相对悲观态度。
! x8 ]1 }# F2 w# d- z' o
8 K7 q, X2 s% F, V5 x" p 另一个阻止比特币上涨的因素则在于,美联储因经济数据推迟了降息节奏,进一步打击了加密市场的信心。
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