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本帖为抢楼帖,欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了,下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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6 A! d. y8 @9 O, V+ S8 r/ ?, M
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50,输赢各半的结果,但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。2 p) K+ j/ z- b0 Z8 f
" j- O3 {! i, _6 p6 U. V这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50,输赢是对半,但是我们真正玩起来,许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
" S5 \9 D1 o3 ^* o2 I+ w: [+ H4 _# c' N! R5 U9 G$ ^/ G; w J' |
为什么?
7 n! K% S3 e( {! j8 r: [. s4 I3 W& Z+ L6 k+ R* D: Z$ t2 N# c
1、因为下注的次数太多了(任何人都逃不过5050)。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。$ x3 P0 q/ p5 I, W
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样,也可能是5050。& m% Z) M1 c9 H# Q% z! ]8 p6 }
假如你只有最后一个码了,而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
0 K% D# l# v: g8 E6 o2 j1 b 第一把赢,你有两个码,平注,无限继续下去的话,你输光的概率是1/4! v9 n6 q/ X1 D2 f7 G& x
第一把输,你没有了。
) H& t U# y5 a 第二把赢,你有三个码,平注,无限继续下去的话,你输光的概率是1/8。7 [0 V# ^5 @" |5 Y4 r9 a
第二把输赢,你还可以继续。。: q' l8 v1 d3 a, |9 O, I q
…………无限下去。
$ I R; H6 V9 G( e清袋的概念,不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
3 P4 q$ h9 E* q F1 l( q$ |* D1 k; v4 q* k* U8 `* d+ X
是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。& E* @% w. j+ ~6 h
% G$ F. ]2 l- A7 B这就是总是输的原因。。
( z' w; v- ?. B; |3 _( |3 t$ u, m2 k/ [+ `+ u2 P0 D6 K7 ^$ R* k- h
为什么我还要继续玩下去呢??
/ }% x/ x# Q$ Y+ o3 [
! [2 j3 ~( N* C1 y$ m1、我觉得可以打偏差。
3 k, N! g, Z) X- f3 w2、存送1%,返水1%,加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
5 { S/ Q/ D: f
1 @% u1 d' |$ b6 Q# H# x: X但是,这,,,只是理论,实践考虑的因素更多。。# h1 K$ Q1 [7 t4 y4 w5 @2 z5 n
* V/ H- p9 x q- R人的心态不可控,人的行为不可控,人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择,所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择,运气不好的话,就会连续选择错误,也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的,在正常的不作弊的情况下,庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半,庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了,反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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