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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 / T& V' w* J! K9 C
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其实原文标题不是这样的
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' `2 o9 w( N! p0 R这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!. Z# N, X- v A! U* s" L
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...% ?) D5 l" ~! C) F5 T
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。
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: T& _4 G7 s% l7 I9 b/ t1 e- E4 I 「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
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「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
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" H: }/ S8 }8 m3 E1 r3 }「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 3 j9 l+ ~8 K/ o/ p0 j; t3 J7 c
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」, V/ J" P( y. Q. j- K
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上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。
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1 ~) k+ t& E/ f6 N接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，6 g/ U, o) e0 S- e8 @2 z
因此铜板较容易出现正面。/ f! ]# }, E% `) e' F$ a5 V
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
, l5 G# Y5 ~$ t: {因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。; w* J0 ~3 v# g5 Y! {0 P* @
心想赢定了。
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没想到开始不到半刻钟，8 d+ A6 u% g( M l3 V. W: p
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」+ r) J" W% b3 [6 r; Y R4 K; c
! x' s# \$ V. F; Z赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，
& H. ~; B* O, d# Q但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。' R& t/ y4 Q$ J; H4 \, G3 |
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赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?9 Q5 \+ ^* u# `1 T
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道：/ g& g2 H w7 Y/ ^- e
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
' a+ w4 P" |) H2 M3 t# Q# o6 f「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」
# r0 i+ \. |, y+ P「而不是先发生在我身上。」
" y ?9 ~7 H7 e* f2 z8 h- c9 E, m
* I& m! u0 d3 b9 M5 D$ r n0 v 赌徒恍然大悟，
9 t# H3 q# i, B9 f1 c" N7 w原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
: h* r; O4 |* f; a' `, C, M竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！; c$ p7 s# x; N% L' g3 R7 l
「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」8 n. O" `, t0 |$ f. H# v7 k0 _
上帝说完便不见踪影。
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一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，
" d/ z/ Y8 x- u- P若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
9 } ]( W3 l! I1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，) Z2 j! J( S, y# U, C$ I/ ]
对赌徒十分有利。6 P/ ^1 M7 S# C( E b+ I; G' Q
8 X7 |* T# I0 W! I但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
! u. _# S. d9 P在还没掷到1000次之前，4 c; b9 p! Z0 ~: L( R# F) R2 n
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。* `5 O5 J* v) r3 z9 K' p
1 j! A3 L) e( s# Y' o 赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。/ Z k3 ^* f. F! _! s% \" v
2 M6 M; D# l1 `7 `" ]! ^ 事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。. v: A& S/ }, u& @. j& B) g
/ c; l2 r) }$ g1 H2 s 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，) r% n( ?- l# B$ A2 I- F
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永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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