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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
- \9 k1 N$ Y$ A7 k- F0 g% V, Y至少有以下几个原因：, ?; a9 Z L) |1 @/ V; W4 _
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1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。
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在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
8 D% }1 G1 [3 ?5 \9 ^
: g1 z, M0 O, z" C2 T% c机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案- N) }: O* t6 C
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出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
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325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数
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据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有
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达到200亿美金）
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2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊% P& {+ V8 f6 v B5 x2 A; _( B
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更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化
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的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
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3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大% V+ l; ?# Q0 Q# ?* h0 G
4 y8 ]: T& ~( D9 S
资金的信任和青睐。
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}# c0 ?- V5 a1 Z. \2 ]! ^4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美3 N' J3 ]4 S2 l* `0 Q" V. w' P) [& T% @
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金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
3 X& N; W, r" j* ^9 [! [7 y u( ~8 g
比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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