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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
8 c8 {9 h9 r. I1 B6 ~% D( X至少有以下几个原因：) L6 v0 R& D; F4 o+ |
0 W7 \* R5 y6 k! m- G( A
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。# Q; w. g/ y, u! h; M8 [& b( _
8 {8 n; g4 Z7 Y( F7 i: s
在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化: t4 y7 M8 t. E5 Y
( A& T6 Q/ d3 ?9 K, J7 g$ C机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
( y* r' k% x& ?
* {# a8 M! e0 v; H9 @% v K1 s. A出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
. \; [/ |( D1 _/ O' ?$ ?% R1 g6 k2 t/ K, C# K+ c
325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数
, R1 n9 V4 A/ _, u8 @% m' A7 S) E) g! k6 h/ O5 z
据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有6 v! ?( N/ B% S# R. z3 B
% L4 R: z# K- E/ o9 _
达到200亿美金）7 E. ?% m" r9 q' M
' T$ n' |3 x/ \, d ^) A+ Y$ l2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊' g7 @" O) E2 c9 G9 u
3 w6 U, h |) z: C# b. Y6 I更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化# _5 R/ m, G5 ~3 |' y
$ S* O8 c* |5 h的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。& J8 W! S9 r" e7 [6 l, P
+ v6 a) L( n3 u( g: C3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大7 _! g' v6 Z3 t- [. u
& W! v$ c( |4 t7 E; b资金的信任和青睐。
6 r$ K9 C. j6 U) a! R, p& ^
: w# v5 Y! g- ?; A4 w E4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
9 M2 I+ y$ m" y9 S: R {( A5 P/ n6 D* F' A! E2 G. e1 ]0 s9 K9 I2 Q5 b
金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
% k% J9 d; j7 U0 f# J5 i9 R
2 G" m. Q$ R* c: v- m2 O比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
' a8 k4 S/ }) w( X0 c0 h, `2 f6 v" U' ~ B: b9 u+ G
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