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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。( c# j/ V$ C* ^9 S. y$ p( n% D
上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。
0 c4 s6 o( {0 k- b1 p0 p
6 y- I, c0 U$ e0 r9 \- @比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者: G P+ o" I; @, s! z
$ E% Y% ?8 y% b2 _4 k0 r% \. |( q/ H! l! `" Q) d
在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。$ O9 V- b ^( Z( q7 z1 ~
# W5 o0 N4 Z1 r% H) ~
在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，
- M2 L/ z( m3 I- [$ ]% ^0 ?) B% F7 @- x5 d6 Z
如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统
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9 {6 r# s( z5 P' L: `资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。! \6 Z- S7 N; p# }0 V6 I! y
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从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等1 a% B. W( c; U- U" K3 Q
! Y3 I/ n4 {: r" A' p% O* T
托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加0 P3 j& ~: e+ ?* @
* z, V% Y5 \* l+ N0 u! X哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交3 ], l# J) Q( j( {$ O
* |0 ~+ O- M8 R; o
易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。
) g! V, T1 h0 j g' O6 i
, r& k( |1 Y5 \6 g: Z% r天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币
& e) n8 X0 F" u) H$ T) `- K; X: F
ETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围/ N! Z$ `5 k% L
( j5 V# ~; G- I" w+ Y绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构8 G) M6 [& l' j) |
- U) p6 p# c3 l3 l1 K+ ~# i* H所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。
' |) z8 D! p8 f1 t; e* M4 `
7 I6 \" `- N- ^: D* M& |: g' j( i3 n在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat
8 Q# L n* s! Z! i" o: f+ `7 R# \8 b( R X
Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，( ^, ~6 \. F/ o* z6 [/ G
" b3 j+ X% r j% X. w O比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元' D @4 m" d6 |# m6 Z
1 S K2 I' ]. N5 x) C( v: l的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。( \; n4 Y4 U4 q
- q4 l( u; x. X0 E( x+ C
不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身* e7 b6 {5 t% J
8 |" x' L# z$ B' ^; C* B
并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和
: d7 c8 j$ u* i9 U1 X7 E1 n1 O
$ I5 D# ~+ y f; Z科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。; V; t- s' q, E8 p; k. u! R
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