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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后，SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。
# A" ]# w6 R' X/ g) T( I上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示，美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易，这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻，将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。4 [" B$ m" G! y! t1 u
9 e4 X3 J7 |9 B( W比特币ETF历时10年终于上市，这将改变比特币的投资面貌，让机构和散户投资者
+ U: }! u' O7 k* \. @9 ?
$ ~( w: p- V8 s+ f$ @) u7 l8 X) L, {" w t
在不直接持有比特币的情况下，也能投资比特币。, H0 N4 B: u# m5 j5 `5 t6 V7 Y
7 H1 [: p. H6 q) i* H- t在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来，2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市，1 A' V8 c" F- u! ?. _
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如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市，申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统
. m9 B6 ]& P; q5 r4 @6 g2 Z; Z2 ~& t+ Z
5 W2 ^, D& m/ [! s5 D3 y资管机构，这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性，比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。. H% P8 W' ]: U+ S$ c, J- j
, S0 ?( q0 A# s N* n
从运作模式看，发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币，并交由Coinbase Global等4 g; E, @4 y: ?: s( @% V
% h Q3 u/ C& k3 @, G托管机构储存，再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加
# A9 z& L. y" J1 o8 G' Y! H |1 `+ o7 {) R
哥期权交易所上市。此外，为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧，纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交
D1 Q$ R2 q1 K" s/ F0 f& S0 C( [# v
% o5 n s. B! W5 Y8 b+ H易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。) v; u, B: z( _9 Q3 I# a* l
4 Q) n6 q z3 C& J9 D% x9 _
天朝（上海）自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示，这次比特币. N$ ^8 _! J) S$ m. d
3 m5 m& |, j3 FETF通过，也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化，根本原因还是美国已经围
; z" s x! K0 N, e* O3 A |1 _' @2 R, n# i% `' E) u0 s
绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构9 B: z8 L0 W# D8 w
( _ o* O0 d. f* k
所接受，很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。, T; Q* N* k0 O: N
. l0 ^# {0 d* N" u2 S在比特币ETF获批后，市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表，美国投资机构Fundstrat
L$ T/ P$ I V) H, Q- Z& P& r( \6 n a# r
Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示，随着ETF获得批准，需求激增，- g+ y+ M' ]* u4 M- V3 Q& A
( j- u* p1 E4 _( o: E: N% h比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元，超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元
; I O2 t) S5 P: e: ]8 s1 @! e" r9 Z) F5 U* q y/ |. A
的历史高点。在未来五年内，比特币可能飙升至50万美元。1 C0 ]; R* M, V' g8 T7 F. {% C% `4 k! D
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不过，更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示，美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身5 |- e8 _1 S5 I/ ?% y
$ F$ Q9 a3 r: W8 p# E+ Z4 h0 x并不重要，重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图：通过比特币市场的发展，引导金融机构和) m* p1 C1 i: `* k
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科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入，从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。
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