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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四. ]9 K* y; x7 c5 E( N& m
' f5 K# o% e. a3 y正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置
8 R8 x: Z) v, l
/ m, b* D7 f2 P2 R P' H: N比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公
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司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。7 u9 w9 m4 P7 n* u- h8 Y$ _3 q# l
在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比
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5 a0 |' \. Q1 {( p& O" ^特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金6 T& |4 c2 z: g
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(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。1 i* v% |8 [6 k: Q0 K+ S- W- B
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来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货/ ^1 q. W/ I4 V6 p* J8 {8 J
% r( [) D0 f7 G6 G7 x$ S# V
币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，; h" l1 e" Q8 D* s
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并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。
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; J- e% d3 t* [ r! F! \“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特
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币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价
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! [( t. n8 n( v, A格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。1 y( F6 W4 N7 `% q- a; x" S3 o
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在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大
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力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，
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$ ?( c9 b9 s7 h; g: D d2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。
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! U, i% a) j: s4 q" `8 Q' z: ^+ u; z自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到
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8 n( {7 C* h- P+ l! @63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。$ u& P4 I4 U% O8 L
! y& ?: ]1 V, {# a; ^8 K! g“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下
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降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该/ ~6 s+ B! \- ?7 I/ D/ A( ]
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会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。
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