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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四
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, }& o7 i. T: K3 `+ ^! W正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置
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比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公
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" M' c& }" u/ R! Q1 e; {' d司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。
1 T9 ]" ~% T3 n( K4 S在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比: z$ p4 ^6 d- J! K P
) B3 j+ p# I- ?# x% z \特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金
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(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。# S0 j3 R. \' |) d7 g
+ L. B a I* O; F
来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货
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* I; l6 @2 ` \币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，7 I' m6 S; L2 q! }0 f2 V
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并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。
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“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特
% w8 R3 R, U$ G
; ~, N! G6 U1 k$ H币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价: l5 }+ `$ a- v n% P$ v0 x7 o- q% V
* J7 h: m& R- B格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。0 b! Z: H" Y. x& n) i0 o
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在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大: g c: f) E/ ]5 q" W- ~$ D' g+ }7 f
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力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，% F6 G# m5 ^, w V$ S; s" }6 B
; Z6 [! u% G. S' w+ I% H8 h9 h2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。) D4 `. v- v0 s9 ~, R8 W
6 Z, O- z* `* v9 }8 W% f1 `. y6 A" J自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到6 a# }, |- c# ~& N( R6 M4 [
) W- Z# u7 l4 t! s3 b+ l& C3 y: _
63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。
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: k; I: Y( a' ]“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下
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* m9 m! A t6 s! g8 J. U) U" e2 `降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该
8 ?1 T. y8 n" H+ S
2 Q8 H4 ]' z$ i6 k% s会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。
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