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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四) }! k9 r( O6 i
0 I) t- y3 f. Q% C2 ~: c7 C正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置1 \9 p) L N- i
- ^: _2 ^5 ^ o- {" q* U; ^6 O
比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公
- N% e: s$ V" _
8 P# R4 @ C. x5 s9 h$ p司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。
7 J% U( x o6 B在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比# L7 O1 `) O; v7 ?
4 }8 W' [2 i& |7 }5 K# C1 l特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金5 A; B7 b4 X& {# }3 c+ G. E
2 ^( g, S0 k o( k" ~
(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。
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来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货% c n* {+ q4 G9 S; d
, G: M) H2 w2 i9 g" `
币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，
8 [% L: A& u3 t7 S$ y9 U4 J
/ W& l, T3 D5 c: w并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。, h* A& H/ ~0 _: Q- v
7 {6 l c G. @2 h0 g
“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特$ b. D( W* H1 c# T" g
- [6 W, X# N' H, D
币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价6 _. s( M5 @+ |" V
4 F# z! P8 e, c- F* M格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。
- U9 K! L9 C/ M/ L# | P* p5 e2 m# \# k( B9 B1 g8 l, ?; L3 L
在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大
V8 s$ M! G3 x# \& g7 T/ l% x2 a9 S6 K: s2 D3 ^
力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，
# x) W" g- \1 Z! o3 q* v# n% r7 ^, [' g# ?, ]" b0 Q
2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。
% v/ n. N; T* B& v$ N0 j& }3 ^; |/ M: ]; o+ T
自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到! K. C. m! J' o) p9 O
3 ?) u& ` J) {0 }: _- h63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。
! X6 y7 T0 O' h, l B: v
# d N) e# h7 U2 @“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下
+ w8 J4 E: O6 Z( y9 t: ^
4 f0 O* x9 i- z$ @- ^3 W降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该$ u$ Y- O E; Z% C& ] D
6 l: r3 f* l4 e" ~6 J会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。
& w, e& `$ B1 w# c2 ^9 b
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