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; W6 m$ L6 v4 g: @3 ]6 B比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
: n% H3 l6 l* x
4 X1 V( {6 T: @) J监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，& ?& g5 _# p2 A/ S) e* r3 A" x
_" s% E/ o" I专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
# J. J# M- Z6 F1 G5 f2 y" k5 F; Z# c- h: e$ x$ N% o; J: ^3 W3 M5 f
有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
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股等风险较高的投资。
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* ~8 N B, Y1 Z" ]( G芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
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明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。
$ D$ V; C- Y# f* {: L: E5 G/ K8 c, v( P: N( i6 j; q+ p! t
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
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因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 5 D- J8 H; }7 K; s3 c4 p' d
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从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
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) L: L0 G) Q! L! x! x! {更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
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# ]: m `4 S( v& E仍有许多交易商可能买入。
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. S# Z I. { H1 R% h# c' ~3 I3 _ F库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
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推动力之一。 R3 V k+ R$ {* o1 N
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1 S9 {+ b& |/ w$ p9 T6 [: p' f; r有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。
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: N# M: N# z: d" S1 H( P需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 8 [+ }6 |0 M S5 c" K/ ]
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加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。” # Y. m& l$ X) j" N0 b( Q
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至4 y7 U# @2 K! B' ]) W+ v& Q* f; m
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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