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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：, m2 I8 h3 S5 K: F1 C
至少有以下几个原因：
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; Z$ T$ g6 a0 o. u+ I1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。6 u# q$ X3 t$ j2 q1 x( a- S$ w7 [. g
5 l/ J& P# w0 M) ?/ u4 t
在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
o; i/ W- \$ U7 e5 c% a! T# c* U0 p
机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案
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$ [; V: f3 f& E" F3 ]% {+ a( D出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到2 [- ^2 S$ v( ~1 n4 h0 h
2 C* h% `. T `325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数- t- [' x" u6 \& c
6 h1 G% F/ C2 y3 @
据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有
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# a# }+ g" |7 W* ?, _达到200亿美金）
3 R6 s9 F+ g c0 m o( D5 @9 K% [. j3 r- s0 m" }0 F9 f9 t6 B5 R! f
2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊: B6 l3 u0 A7 @) G' M; u3 L: e
* N4 H+ E5 T6 _, s6 O更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化& s: Z: e* U5 e- w* V( x
- O" q! E0 t2 |
的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。' r* T0 `9 F9 S
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3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大0 K, C: t" ~. Y
6 h: P) }$ p1 |* h5 u( U' R资金的信任和青睐。
, j0 A$ A9 a2 g( l3 w) R$ E9 P }* F4 I' E2 d9 Y5 f
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美0 s- P& P3 F% |0 h6 \2 t
- c5 q4 c8 N. p6 q$ x& o! g* |金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
, y: r) \+ H: H3 N; {5 s: N/ V* ?9 L
" d5 v, H5 T7 _ k2 ~/ `比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。 o5 U# i1 b, J* U# _( _
+ {3 R9 ?4 [& d |
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