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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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* O0 j: ~* q* [# y有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
8 P; j2 }5 c) B! s
" P% [* b+ I% ]2 t这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。. u( }! J" e# H$ d2 d4 ?% E0 I
$ }! D; y; u! j# ^5 E
为什么？: z7 S R6 {. \7 Z3 t; W+ Q0 S
: u* L- h7 a( [+ n, q0 i4 d3 b1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
1 S; Q- Q+ @, }6 o2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。. a* V; m; f" u1 r& `8 {) o% P$ A: P
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。% S* c! ]6 G! ]! u5 z
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4# z! V7 L4 E- |7 t* S: O
第一把输，你没有了。4 b2 z7 v5 s a; c$ U" N
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
" V5 o5 [# J2 q' m' R* a3 v 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
$ U* Q) U6 T' x' b" ^ …………无限下去。
8 m: @2 {" D5 v0 e7 u% g/ `& o清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
8 v3 L. v$ ~% t( s" y# J M
. x; A; a/ V1 h$ w- N: ^是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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& Z) r' A4 u/ r9 W' |4 i9 G5 q这就是总是输的原因。。9 Z9 j. b+ B7 Q- _5 b
4 A, O8 r8 j! z) L# ]' W1 w, v
为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？% u5 T# m( q% G8 B+ p
4 m: K8 J# ~( N8 w1、我觉得可以打偏差。
6 j$ q/ I( r; p3 u [2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。& V/ r& u- A1 s3 a( `5 n G% \
4 p* r% \2 p" f h5 l$ w5 X但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。) c) _$ T% L2 I1 ?
- f+ S% C; Q7 j% t8 [, f% ]人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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