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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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( y5 g7 B/ I$ x# s( D0 }
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。+ k* j$ y0 _, z' y* Q
M y. H* w5 \/ ?4 z8 t; c这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
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9 L" n, i+ R- y9 V/ e" w为什么？$ r- }- ^- J3 @, o, k' P
9 {" R) p9 \- f! g0 R6 e, b& R1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。
& f, c: q* e, E2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。! C! ^: _1 `4 I
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。" L/ E8 q7 b: P8 x- H
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4# T; A& R0 \' a4 D$ K# v+ z( M
第一把输，你没有了。! G5 w! G; j+ ?; }' G0 W0 z; j
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。+ S: i( J3 `% T+ G0 t; j d$ j/ A
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
* A* L; w) O' _3 C+ d …………无限下去。; N: E) G Y7 P
清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。" t7 S% a# i: N Z; y" n- v, R
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这就是总是输的原因。。1 g L5 |7 k H7 I# W, p* ?- p
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为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？) _5 I! U: \$ J, Z7 B- j9 p6 m
6 c5 b1 p$ H( @1 J9 y1、我觉得可以打偏差。
# C. i5 M* [# E3 n2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
1 o/ t: |) F6 K3 p+ y, P5 c( R, L' e! i- B. G6 n1 v) x3 n
但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。4 b8 O/ H) j& j. G% X1 z
5 ], E4 `# A9 m g人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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