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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑
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: b9 z- G' f4 g5 @5 n) H其实原文标题不是这样的
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!2 Y' |$ g4 w1 w9 \) r8 y
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6 z( f. b2 x2 N0 f8 R5 g
有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...% M9 f6 [/ s) M0 [# x
他希望能和上帝来场赌局。% R3 i1 ]" P X" K+ }& W- B
/ M, L' |1 M2 B
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
+ \- @3 I- j+ s( j/ i* o- [) q
+ S. x, f8 Z. c9 V# f+ R3 {1 j2 [ 「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」7 z7 `4 y9 `+ r; R; \: \1 Q
2 T+ y; I0 F5 L. Q5 a4 ~0 L「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」
! \8 @8 p. L8 K4 n& k$ o8 M3 q* d% I" l「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
$ N: ~2 ~( b4 r. `
) I# {4 p% f z, T: [ 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。6 N1 ?. b1 }1 n: l1 [- E
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接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，* D2 ?/ ~, b3 U
因此铜板较容易出现正面。9 K. O, m/ f# J: M7 P% Z$ O
长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。 1 F) X, Z$ Z5 [" R- W
因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。$ S( E- L( f# w# B1 V
心想赢定了。5 C% H2 d& r R" T1 u
7 ]5 e' D' Q: O3 D( {
没想到开始不到半刻钟，8 N9 r" f, ^2 U) K! f
赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」 r5 l3 x/ \$ g! y
6 U, ?9 u, ~, M+ L6 H" I赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，' B7 k7 I2 L5 U0 S6 s
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。# x* x: [3 U" V
' F2 c7 Q0 m/ X: b7 z赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?9 ]( T9 B% x% y% p" w9 A
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。 2 F( ?2 N# E E; `$ z2 a# T
上帝回答道：! w$ _$ N$ S; V# h @
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」
+ L' p9 G- \, X! I1 A! s Y「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」4 e( D0 \2 Y* G. F& l0 ^: T
「而不是先发生在我身上。」4 R4 S- v4 ?# E
. H! y7 T1 ]5 p4 J3 D- w: M 赌徒恍然大悟，
. J. o5 ` U% [1 y& g9 n) F原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，; |: Q1 }6 t( U
竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
- R6 r1 {& M2 R$ w. r2 T" W1 n「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」1 T# J' U. D3 T, r( W5 k
上帝说完便不见踪影。
3 O* i3 K# u& N% ^% p
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，" r9 V: }" p8 w/ D6 Y+ `
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，% C+ |2 L9 u& B% T; q0 _
1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，# {- \0 a: o& m, T1 e: ~- ^0 B
对赌徒十分有利。3 O% Z+ A; t* g m
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但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，
0 s2 d5 ^: k1 C9 m+ [在还没掷到1000次之前，; m+ o: I4 `( C# T+ C7 I! P" T' E# h( C
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。; Q+ ]3 U1 ?& v* `
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
( D1 o" Y+ Z8 @- `7 Y3 B! ^1 [/ r) G1 f1 u7 U1 u2 x! F
事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。
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# ~% o! V( G" V" {4 c 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，* `$ M& M* _# a8 l% G# ]5 r6 l
5 w+ m) `0 {, j4 c: _ 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！
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