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[虚拟币资讯]
比特币以 29,000 美元的价格继续盘整是回升吗？（BTC价格分析）
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自从创下 69,000 美元的历史新高以来，比特币的价格一直伴随着一个下降通道，这清楚地表明了一个看跌阶段。以下旨在调查和评估中短期可能出现的情况。
4 N; W) g0 G3 W$ u( W技术分析
( K8 j* ~% E! F( Y6 |每日图表" V {1 ]; n% I, K
价格现在在通道的中间趋势线上方盘整。2.86 万美元至 2.88 万美元的关键需求区域和通道的中线一直是比特币的可靠支撑。 3 t- E/ a3 o' X& M% _& D1 O
& ?7 L+ h2 N- \0 H+ w+ C另一方面，比特币的 RSI 两次未能突破其下降趋势线，目前正在寻求第三次突破。如果突破发生，将不可避免地再次飙升至 37,000 美元的阻力位。
6 ], i, Y% V5 {4 小时图4 @# W' V) g" C
价格在下降楔形模式内波动，如果上趋势线被打破，这通常被称为反转模式。另一方面，在较低的时间范围内，明显的 Wyckoff 积累阶段。价格经历了PS（初步供应）、SC（卖家高潮）、AR（自动反弹）、ST（二次测试），目前处于LPS（最后支撑点）阶段。 9 H' u+ A7 |- [' e; I9 ~
基于价格在重要需求区域内盘整并形成威科夫累积模式的事实，未来几天比特币更可能出现逆转，然后是中期攀升。 / q K- e1 ]; S
% v, X' a3 q: x8 r$ W情绪分析
+ x. o/ a+ c% u4 m4 Z8 e2 l比特币资金费率
; C g& X* V7 p7 [% {% R过去几个月，比特币一直处于无情的下跌趋势中，从 2021 年 11 月的 6.9 万美元的历史高位回落，甚至跌破 3 万美元大关，这被许多市场参与者认为是重要的支撑。
/ s i7 S% X7 Z% e但这一水平未能保持，因为价格已跌破该水平并在过去几周一直在该水平交易。通常，价格底部与极端看跌情绪相关，如负融资利率值所示。
0 r! C/ `: e; Y1 R: m* N然而，在最近的崩盘期间，融资利率一直在零附近波动，最近几天甚至回到了正值。这些值可能表明价格远未触底。这一盘整期可能是另一轮看跌之前的修正，因为市场仍远未达到熊市底部的极度恐惧和负面情绪。
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6 M& V+ @, z/ A- [. a9 H融资利率的显着负值可能导致大规模的空头挤压，类似于 2020 年 3 月和 2021 年 7 月的底部，并在中期引发新的看涨趋势。 & U% z, ~. [$ t6 m( X/ \
来源：金色财经 |
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