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[lastpost] => 2690189 Block将推进比特币挖矿计划 因川普的加密友好政策似乎将落实（转） 1731170152 NBA专家
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[虚拟币资讯]
比特币以 29,000 美元的价格继续盘整是回升吗？（BTC价格分析）
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自从创下 69,000 美元的历史新高以来，比特币的价格一直伴随着一个下降通道，这清楚地表明了一个看跌阶段。以下旨在调查和评估中短期可能出现的情况。 - t5 [' {; Q u( X3 S+ O0 o1 Z
技术分析- T0 g% {$ t1 j6 x5 t, f5 S
每日图表
1 k, R( b R M' o4 |9 M价格现在在通道的中间趋势线上方盘整。2.86 万美元至 2.88 万美元的关键需求区域和通道的中线一直是比特币的可靠支撑。 8 ?6 q3 D, N: n) w* h
* `) x3 h) g: v另一方面，比特币的 RSI 两次未能突破其下降趋势线，目前正在寻求第三次突破。如果突破发生，将不可避免地再次飙升至 37,000 美元的阻力位。 % O' f, d; A/ p2 ^# b
4 小时图
. c6 x8 [3 L4 F1 W& T; O: g, O价格在下降楔形模式内波动，如果上趋势线被打破，这通常被称为反转模式。另一方面，在较低的时间范围内，明显的 Wyckoff 积累阶段。价格经历了PS（初步供应）、SC（卖家高潮）、AR（自动反弹）、ST（二次测试），目前处于LPS（最后支撑点）阶段。
5 t( E# m/ S* H6 t* W基于价格在重要需求区域内盘整并形成威科夫累积模式的事实，未来几天比特币更可能出现逆转，然后是中期攀升。
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情绪分析, y+ e8 c9 C$ P7 X& Q
比特币资金费率
( q) a( F! i% [+ R过去几个月，比特币一直处于无情的下跌趋势中，从 2021 年 11 月的 6.9 万美元的历史高位回落，甚至跌破 3 万美元大关，这被许多市场参与者认为是重要的支撑。 4 a6 m" _' \3 i; l
但这一水平未能保持，因为价格已跌破该水平并在过去几周一直在该水平交易。通常，价格底部与极端看跌情绪相关，如负融资利率值所示。
0 _0 |% g+ I0 y8 E, h$ ]然而，在最近的崩盘期间，融资利率一直在零附近波动，最近几天甚至回到了正值。这些值可能表明价格远未触底。这一盘整期可能是另一轮看跌之前的修正，因为市场仍远未达到熊市底部的极度恐惧和负面情绪。
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6 Y) t" Z, [; L7 ]& _; o; G融资利率的显着负值可能导致大规模的空头挤压，类似于 2020 年 3 月和 2021 年 7 月的底部，并在中期引发新的看涨趋势。
6 D+ b4 o0 h: _! c; p来源：金色财经 |
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