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[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 " e; u! ?) P) x- M9 ^7 G y. `2 {
0 \$ ^- f" Q; [1 Q. W: c& M
5. 废话的不对称原则
8 I. M, \1 L9 {8 `- l; [6 B反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
. w2 E O0 s" A- Y- L W! ?+ t/ k& V* \
回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。
+ n8 U& f8 U! A
2 ]. e/ P8 s! {写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
! N7 ` r# Y; V$ q1 p# j/ G& n- I% S' O: H& k
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。' {# b e1 y0 Z2 \% ^- @( d
$ K- R/ U; y8 F7 `) C5 ?# I0 R而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
D, e/ Q Y" r0 \9 F4 e; S: x0 f* E" y0 ~4 ~0 n- W- _$ b) L
6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)
" }! c% _' K, ?7 E被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
7 d( u* P( v7 \+ k" g9 R- }1 G3 p
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
* F& O9 M( ?# s5 t( @$ q2 b
7 q6 D1 H1 M6 F$ R因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。4 N! M( [: u) e
4 u; m5 t* B P5 H% ]
想象一下罕见事件:
7 ^1 L3 R8 e% a) t4 i5 X2 _8 E s' f, c3 U1 J4 B) C$ t* U7 |
• 中本聪的钱包苏醒/ p7 @. m* k5 }! K5 C. r
8 P5 W4 G; |+ Y \
• 核打击
8 k0 B* @% c) q* e7 K3 X
1 V. T" ]) h3 j! m* k我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!
: J. Y5 |+ S* P
, O2 R9 C' [5 s" q6 h- k7.二八定律9 N4 [( M5 m# ?, \; ^4 r5 e% _
在币圈:" h& h0 Y& E4 C1 J6 \
" }7 V- ~ l" j& J( ~& q. L9 s6 ]80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。 W6 j# p. M3 }7 o. p
% Q, I% E; m3 h9 p
80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
( d8 V5 x0 X5 X% ~" q. M
% J- }5 g7 [+ w4 |3 ~4 a* i我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
; U' D1 {$ S( t% q0 ]
& e C; g9 L7 d8.网络效应
" J/ O8 \4 S" }3 m/ S6 i# i产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。
2 d1 ?: g' g8 Q, W3 W9 X7 \' k3 v' f) q! h8 X: g
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?! _6 \2 R* ?! u* P1 O8 r# W
7 N% e2 F( j- t7 O9 _% o9 s
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。0 s; @4 ^& o; Q
7 m6 b0 J6 F2 ~4 P8 c. V投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。
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