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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
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[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
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[1758] => 科技前沿
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
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5. 废话的不对称原则% I$ z, S) {% e; d7 L" t
反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。
2 X) T) P5 R* N$ O
& s- J6 `0 p9 L: g( }" K# j回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。5 A- f( y$ b7 }) V
) ~) v( \3 j0 [: F7 y写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
4 p& Z) c7 D! ^8 @0 s( t- G- d5 \, _8 b- z2 }& A5 C9 f
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
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而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
1 u9 j& U# K+ T( G7 _" f) J
. y5 O% L' J1 f. a% }6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅) J* ]. ]0 y$ O/ }$ f+ u% s! l
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
/ z, k `) s# C1 o+ c
/ g3 V0 S2 ^' W不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
8 V- n. U4 W3 p
0 p$ T6 ^- l( }, B0 B6 N8 h因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
6 Q5 g: D* I! _. K0 c* |# z4 n( B$ Z4 W- y( q
想象一下罕见事件:
. X) v# x5 ~7 _( b) } J: x9 c
* v3 f) [. c. t0 R0 T• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
1 k8 P6 ]) X$ l% y+ U+ T% u* q
7 M) c7 M8 T" q+ C. f* [* Z- F• 核打击
- y j) W, \0 G4 {3 _6 D! F' N* y. z! ]+ U+ A# s8 ~# A! F3 q
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!
) U2 ?/ s7 ^. G
+ \; ^5 _1 z* M' R3 \7.二八定律. ?/ }1 M/ ?2 @9 [" L4 f0 J
在币圈:# g) P. B1 @- I( E7 b7 y
9 \( [; Q0 `* u1 ^+ h- N80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。
3 r( C' V' N, }0 ~8 d: J
D9 d: u5 K+ M+ I80%的利润被20%的人拿走。 ]; y. C2 a p* S6 c; z
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我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
; C0 k( a- Z0 W5 |1 i7 \* V" [ l
8.网络效应( L/ b5 D- ]) b/ ^
产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。1 o, q+ u, `9 `2 a( v
7 \% d! f% ~1 _; O9 R% T, G想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?1 T; @) p* E: _9 x
$ B( F+ B! B- M一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。1 P' \% h% G* f9 {
! T8 g- Z. V. Z+ k& X) G& N* n; T, K- \投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。
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