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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：1 F4 z+ A$ k7 {+ `' ^
至少有以下几个原因：
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1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。
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0 M+ v0 [5 U& c在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
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机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案( ~+ C( `' [/ i
: t- I$ e$ b( {! a: R" S: T出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到
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325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数3 J- T: Z4 Y: ?/ k5 ~ ^/ J1 h/ ~9 q
, b. f! d% c$ k5 y据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有8 p/ T; X" `- z4 u9 O- V7 ]
7 _- [ T# m+ [& F达到200亿美金）4 U( n3 c5 ^) j/ k4 r- V
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2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊
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% [1 ^/ G1 W' q* y, e( T' a3 v! o更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化
6 _' Y! y: f% w! W
- Z' R8 _1 w4 e9 f: G+ L的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。0 ]! k1 O. s2 ?5 \1 H
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3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大" f7 L D5 U8 B% c. @
6 m8 P/ U& M1 @3 g" r1 i
资金的信任和青睐。
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4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美" [/ p" M" W. x
4 {# `. n' h0 A# ? A+ X# I4 ?金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
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比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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