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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四
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" |) i! P4 ^1 j& ]1 z( W+ _正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置
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6 t8 X* g1 f# @7 Q6 k) J2 M# `比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公
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* A q3 w! N5 B( N6 d, c/ O% D' t5 ]司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。% P% B& M: } `* V
在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比
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特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金0 U @% ~0 {3 Q) W' H
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(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。
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来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货6 r! t# ?2 b# z9 ^; N% M N$ ~
/ n, ^9 x& s: w币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，0 B& ]$ T6 C! A$ o
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并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。: a+ g/ J7 v9 h) T1 d
; Q' \" \" z7 T% O8 \- q“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特
8 Y5 e2 J- b, a: G4 r) p$ ]" [- y( C7 `
币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价
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9 X( {* b4 x9 |6 x$ R格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。1 c( A" x0 {4 E W: \/ C
7 N. H3 d7 U: n! R在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大
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+ V8 o" o2 M& [- N/ T: C力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，! l0 t! ]" L. |! b
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2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。
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自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到. ^/ u9 x* S9 e) J0 e4 _9 |+ D- ~
8 X2 d7 n- ~& T$ t0 b' f F! X V63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。
! z7 _8 U& s6 D; w2 [% Z. F$ Y& w& `! _0 I
“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下
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7 L8 [' s* L# K O5 t降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该
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会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。
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