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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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, x; B' q' w) p* n7 Q5 m
有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
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这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。 X. N$ ]7 k g H) ^+ O, w
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为什么？
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0 v1 H/ C2 P. k% i1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。* K+ P$ b' D# i
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。
8 N( Q! {" `; O4 g 假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。
* L; w: b+ ?+ ^+ }+ q 第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4
. Z6 D2 c6 {# r4 c1 G 第一把输，你没有了。
6 P' ?, L- P) A7 N! Z 第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。1 G7 @% u' U2 O# U+ r+ `
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。
* [' y* A+ f0 s1 @ …………无限下去。9 x, ^+ }2 x+ }4 D
清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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0 W9 F; P9 H; K6 ~( g$ r" e0 o是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。. m- b, x) t' v$ l
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这就是总是输的原因。。) ]. f' K( H0 k6 z0 M
8 [$ i* G6 g( U& w5 a: j" k% Q' Y为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？0 |* D% |1 N/ M# M- [
6 w/ ^4 f7 O5 C) n: D1、我觉得可以打偏差。
# f5 p f: l3 U, F5 f2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。
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+ O: x6 G4 Y) c( p4 E/ z+ ~但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。: r6 l0 A) i9 C8 ~3 s4 J- y
0 V7 ]- P* Z2 `; s- o人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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