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本帖最后由 陆安梦 于 2017-12-20 14:29 编辑 1 M5 n' N6 [, ^3 `
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其实原文标题不是这样的3 s1 P, r( ~" O* g6 ]1 l
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这是我看完的心得所下的 说真的很实用 因昨天我玩了40分钟的捕鱼机深深有感!!!( o4 N8 _3 y0 H* g3 {
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有一天，一个专业的赌徒遇到了上帝...
& _7 Z# n* ]8 B* \% d$ c他希望能和上帝来场赌局。. T8 b# u) ?+ }& }! @4 [1 n
+ t' Q" b* g- z" H7 M
「我有无限多的金钱。」上帝说着。
9 A, u$ J& [. V0 r* @% @+ R0 [ d* x* J' W) R# }: }
「无论多久我都能和您赌下去，您可以带走所有您赢到的金钱。」
, S/ R2 a, e$ b* E O6 I( w
, W4 U f$ l" r5 \「我只有一个要求，我们赌掷铜板，由您选择正反面。」 「选对了便可以从我这拿走一枚金币，反之我要拿走您一枚金币。」 ; |3 b3 O5 S0 v, t
「如同人生一样，您的人生，您自己选择。」
: O) @: Q3 T. m8 F2 ]7 Q$ k
; y2 u, [4 ]7 g% [* F/ l 上帝笑着说完，便把铜板交给赌徒。8 V! J" y S+ V9 p( U2 I
. P/ I3 z, m! `. p( X: M! B) v8 w! g
接过铜板，赌徒凭着过往的经验，便立即察觉 铜板反面的重量比正面稍重，
" C: M1 w& w, @+ l% C5 M+ y因此铜板较容易出现正面。
5 M2 S6 @' V( {* i1 p0 i9 N长期而言，正面出现的次数会高于反面，较有长期优势。
# N4 U" {# m' \# {3 ^因此，赌徒二话不说，掏出身上20枚金币，心中暗自窃喜。
# C0 i3 w$ L0 F/ I心想赢定了。
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7 J& G/ z1 l# n, a没想到开始不到半刻钟，
e2 Y( |4 K# N- X$ f1 s0 x% E! G0 O1 g赌徒已经把20枚金币便已经输个精光。 「应该只是运气不好吧！」8 e! d" S5 U2 g
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赌徒不甘心，又带了100枚金币来比试，" A) j' w' |% M
但过了一整天后却仍输个精光。
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# v; x" T+ }& l" d8 @ n赌徒百思不得其解，他明明已经占尽优势，为何还会失败?% o4 t( v i- ?2 O; [3 H
他恳请上帝告诉他原因。
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上帝回答道： H" }% [) N& x& D
「我会赢，只是因为我有 无限的资本。」3 D& c e4 @* @) D4 O0 V( l
「因此，如果时间够长，输光所有的钱会先发生在您身上。」0 Y. Q. O: q- C. Q; |
「而不是先发生在我身上。」) S% f9 O6 t: c' t7 }
1 }! _6 \3 L- D8 d# O 赌徒恍然大悟，9 O$ c6 q# H7 b) K; b: _) w5 M2 ?
原来他穷极一生 追求技巧，寻找赌局中的些微优势，
; t, `# D8 g, [% {8 |! R ?竟然没有准备 充足的资金来得重要！
/ [" M. N+ q5 P: S$ r「因此，如果您身上带的是一万枚金币，那赢的想必就会是您了。」9 d! r, @$ b! g* I9 a) a; K
上帝说完便不见踪影。
2 X' v5 r2 L: _
一旦赌局无法再继续下去，拥有再大的优势也没有意义 一枚较容易出现正面的铜板，8 V7 m( C9 T6 `0 L( s( b7 r
若掷铜板1000次，最后结果可能是正面出现550次，反面出现450次，
% @ `. B" d& c4 }; `1000次下来，赌徒可以赚到100枚金币，
( z3 i6 P5 a. ^+ c) `对赌徒十分有利。6 o" s; B0 }; m% p5 X: C
0 c: s/ _# a2 ?
但要是450次的反面，在一开始就 连续的出现，* P) S7 j5 @3 I! |5 i, e
在还没掷到1000次之前，# q" s9 L% t4 }3 r
仅有100枚金币的赌徒便会先破产。
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赌徒拥有运气与勇气，但却没有充足的资本实现获利。
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事实上，当资本不足时，即使有任何长期优势都难以发挥。+ J( _* A; x7 d, t
' s- Z3 M: M, }/ o @# U4 T. r 市场就像是个金钱无限的上帝，投资就如同和上帝赌掷铜板，& g A6 Y. t9 v. D
9 q9 F; r. {2 A4 P4 [: X 永远必须准备足够的资本，才有可能真正实现长期的获利喔！ $ f( {) Z! ]) _* l) b
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