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当前离线
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方向对了、点位略微出现偏差。 % \3 h2 r1 e4 D0 O' Z# V( s
现在要强调的并非熊市不言底、 6 o0 F- s3 U8 K$ R+ h$ M
也不是cpi暴雷问题！ $ O' r/ g: s3 \7 v! V2 D( v+ o
- D( X' a. z8 \# y
而是当本月最大利空落地后，市场依旧一泻千里。 3 j( k' I2 A P/ y. I6 v
失守去年注水5.19低点后、以太再次以该支撑出现夭折行情。
) D( U7 l) R0 \; S" t/ h) {三箭资本借以太利好、频繁加持，最终近20亿未偿还债务。 ; u! I# a5 R7 t! I/ a$ ]/ ^
市场机构、除灰度外、其余任何机构基金都出现大幅比未实现亏损。及更多清算问题， / f, y& N; f1 J _$ m2 H. U) ?3 ~
市场已不仅仅是恐慌问题。 1 T3 l. b7 E6 a) Z
而是与美股对比、市场整体对加密的估值出现了动摇！
3 r$ L) n. x5 ]( X0 r- c$ k- `除开泡沫多、市场会重新定义加密价值。 9 L2 T/ Z: M9 O: W
直白的说， * s4 y* h8 ~3 t B1 c: p
市场借助这轮加息，重新洗牌。
1 Z* F2 W, y/ b下一轮牛市，周期会十分长。
+ b3 u2 ~8 q+ d1 ~' h即使加息结束，69000高点，很难在下一轮牛市形成。 ! y9 |+ B" J: b3 I, ?, U3 Y
但切记，即使是这样，现货也不建议割肉。
; [" k8 b' N R3 e7 ~/ k被套躺平、长线布局等cpi稳定。 / r+ C5 v+ V) D \ {, u
短线不追空，不抄底，反弹空。 - Z- Q* i' @* B7 l+ x
跟趋势走，跌透为止。
5 U. S5 `7 l1 S# i: N8 `0 G老观点，周线实体阴线，未收下影。
$ L6 c5 j3 G3 h7 w% B$ N# \下周铁定惯性下行，收阳概率极低。 + |0 V8 X) L7 j' o' R9 W
环境不允！氛围不允。利空之下，更无资金接力可能。 ! ~; {" i2 _( j6 Y" |: Q. u
夜里继续以反弹4小时近5日线做高空埋伏、
/ {$ B! M6 L) Z3 u大饼反弹至18900高空
% s6 Y; A0 v \2 y6 P9 w补仓19100 防守19300
$ j6 |7 Z0 D- I0 ~' T* Y目标18100-17950 * M6 l, n) @. [4 U5 p; R
破位17650 ( d7 z3 r' x7 |1 K" q, R: k1 }5 u; P
持续下看至17000
, [) I0 ~* P% p3 @3 F) ]以太反弹至985-995高空补仓1018 1 A: v6 m* x! C2 I" g
防守1030 2 P3 C( s- [2 ~
目标910-890 : \6 b% g- g& u; z% T
还没出现日线大幅度插针、将现阶段所有不利消息一次跌透。开空，仍不晚。 $ t& x: x9 [5 n
熊市不言底，市场估值出现问题，新一轮洗牌。
4 V) j, H. Z" R- A' {还有尾声机会。
* h; K0 m8 A4 r, C. _# I再晚一点，就只能做横盘箱体。 , g/ q$ R" I3 U3 b) ~+ B4 s
来源：金色财经 |
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