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[lastpost] => 2643965 孙宇晨也被SEC盯上啦！SEC：要在美国长期活动就该被管！ 1713620117 天策-菱玖
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
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1. 历史第四轮熊市先前已确立,满足了下跌50%并维持1个月这个条件 & w, H& V; i2 `$ s' |
2.熊市已进入中后期,时间方面大概率今年内结束
0 ~3 v$ N, M; n0 N3.空间方面按我5月10日发的计算最低点大概率落在1.4万到1.6万元之间
/ ^ j- }8 c3 ^- h- Y) s4.但根据我多年投资经验和感觉,最低点大概率会跌到1.5万元左右
! q# F$ G5 \: a$ B* P" |, c5.2018.12-2021.11的上轮牛市整体上涨21.49倍刚过60%计算值 # T; J) `, L5 v- v
低于了2015.1-2017.12的前轮牛市涨到60%和50%正中间
5 V; F+ S9 M/ J" o4 D6.同时没到10万,还是在全球央行放水的情况下，这个成绩略微让大家感到不满.但三年涨22倍的全球资产,全世界都找不出第二个
% M7 Y5 S5 |3 i8 u7.熊市考验的是买入策略.无论是全仓、补仓、加投,无论几次性买分批买,低于2万美元就可以开始准备 7 G+ X! L, z. |& G
8. 牛熊周期4年规律趋势仍未被打破 # B0 ^8 x1 B) x3 U m( _' V' f0 p
9.下轮牛市时间方面2023年初-2025年底空间方面按5月10日发的计算,高点大概率落在9.5万到19万元之间 / R$ }' c3 b0 R* d2 }* S2 u8 N: [
10.根据经验和感觉就是10万出头,即整体上涨10倍左右
/ Z: ~- u9 X; P3 T11.下轮牛市是最后一轮涨幅能到10倍左右的机会, 再往后的牛市就大概会是5倍、3倍、1倍、低于1倍这样
. \* @3 c& l4 R& X& E6 X3 f6 V7 O12.虽然币最终可能是会涨到上百万、千万元但你要知道一种可能就是这或许要数百年、上千年.就像黄金涨到今天的市值用了数千年。短时间内涨的最凶猛的时期也就是前5轮牛市,我认为下轮牛市就是最后一次还有巨大涨幅的机会 6 }. z5 n- y4 n8 q# Z
13. 币圈已经并将永远是人类世界的资产王者，没有任何资产在体量上能承载全人类经济的储值和作为货币使用的同时，还能几年就涨十倍、几十倍、上百倍 ) s" \- J# w& c
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
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总在线: 1921 小时
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