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[lastpost] => 2797658 比特币现金在2025年上涨30%后趋于降温，零知识证明的公平代币发行计划（转） 1768538753 垂钓园
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比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
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监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，+ r; x; M: M( c& j# l
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专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。
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有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
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股等风险较高的投资。 2 l- S9 N' C+ L+ s7 m+ p
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芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
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明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。
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2 z7 @1 y, o3 v现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
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( g+ S" y1 m! e# n因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
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从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。 % @2 y1 I" ^1 t- L# G
5 ]1 O& C( r, A4 L+ ^* [更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此% \/ i7 @7 N; c: H4 Z# E
5 k& F1 H2 Y! @# `- a: c仍有许多交易商可能买入。
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0 @9 k5 i; m. O1 ]! z! g库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的
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推动力之一。 , B A2 V' R* k9 H% e3 n( }5 W
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有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 # w+ {% G6 F( p/ Z
/ C1 {0 \$ [, n需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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( |8 E1 I, i- w7 E/ K5 a加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣% o- u, f9 o* e0 L
* T3 B) j/ r% Q8 T; ~1 v6 ]% D9 W的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至7 ?: P- g$ V i( y+ ~. U
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今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 $ ~$ \% L& P3 T/ m% }" L1 F0 D2 `3 Y
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