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6 i7 D% U* k' ?& O3 L6 Z& O比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。
: x/ n1 S8 x I
5 m$ c1 J F6 l* q/ u监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，' u+ {1 g# C6 Q& V; j: N1 b3 |
: M& ~2 Q9 `# n! ?专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 ) T; S C4 A* `. N
5 i7 A1 ^5 j9 ]$ \: l, a. @# p有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
- u6 |1 N0 b- s; g( c3 F
9 X( k) q4 X4 J( a% a股等风险较高的投资。 ( m% a2 p% c5 z6 k n8 w
( @5 Q+ H. V* b) o6 e/ G芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
3 @5 V+ h& }1 w0 @5 J' I k; r5 j# a( t& Y
明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 4 W' I w. v, S
+ q) W0 j1 M9 l+ a9 E
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
' r P, S3 {2 x& R, W
' Q' o6 z4 }* d) e: C) b因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 6 g* b) i: {5 Q; c1 u8 ~
/ _2 A" A' e* D从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
& p4 i! ]( ?& U! \9 y# D3 v/ e" K
* p+ H% T& l/ D* o4 r, q# t4 r更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
+ @3 j- A2 v0 W% y+ R1 u9 {( f
3 O2 k U" _8 u; ?: z( x9 S% _" d仍有许多交易商可能买入。 q/ |; I. X7 h5 l% y" {
/ s- W5 o. U: K- Z4 B9 Y( b3 {. v/ U库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的! u* k5 B1 `! X8 l/ j. O* K. r
. V1 k" h2 h5 O2 }
推动力之一。
) y" X4 V F! U" ?' j
/ Y ^5 O' ]! F02 w4 T' I% O7 }+ R
! Y' e0 E+ O& j( q5 [有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 ! Q4 O0 P& G' a1 O) x& c' @
' G5 ?6 K/ o: d# w. [
需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
8 p, Z& c5 l2 ]' ?7 H
0 r" n! G; d- m$ J加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣
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7 g$ Q& M; L& k& ^的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
" Q- f. [/ x) _+ S/ [$ Z9 L3 w; V7 e6 E. s
数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至; S K6 C3 Q0 ]
" b4 Q" z1 \% l今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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