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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，- W( H* k% u1 p. u! j
3 t* `- [% T2 f比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？) ^' f' a# v9 h& D/ j
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
& }% w1 ?5 L- C) N
* U& P4 `; q# u5 [3 L5 B/ y+ |1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
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没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过* V. m, N L/ L' e3 I. _, Q
; o3 z; z% |- F# L; }7 _$ N9 V
中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全; r& {4 k: x# E! n
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去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长- g0 G' ~3 w2 I( t& \
7 f* J& d- j4 z- {7 V; \5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH
/ Z* \: c; |7 A" P7 d, p. U7 N' h. P
Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和
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ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
" G d2 i% y# U5 F S
6 X( B4 H3 Z$ P! F& b* h# ]" |美金）。
% m$ W- u& X% K- X, @, A' T8 R: G) {7 x; R4 Z' X" m+ G
8 s! c7 W3 }! Q3 r0 @
2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态# b/ V( C z. g2 M4 s- d) z* a9 E
6 J+ z* ~, ]/ M比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去
' }7 S8 K& o4 X: K' @# h+ y; ^# o3 n) J
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。) J2 G* E+ c2 b; W7 T+ @
* G! {8 \9 H$ f# T1 D- F6 _3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户$ |' u4 p4 z0 I. M
% A$ B( Q+ T* l9 r尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
8 b/ c* f/ B; s: ~& \$ o* ]! Z' e) b% |/ l. Y7 \
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
9 K* e$ B* ?: K) K* G: i0 V5 V9 Y
) t7 p3 y w6 V. X1 b9 D h约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
$ k3 x* q' D' c% v8 ~5 c8 P# ?# V# c$ x; r
果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
& h9 L6 B. G$ A$ S# O7 V& s- Y7 h6 Y% U6 d% c$ q# X2 G
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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4 a( |, G0 x3 v& O+ ^& Z3 m6 ^& B( p* T0 }3 A1 _5 u
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