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[lastpost] => 2796115 比特币现货流入量跌至 6 周低点，但接下来会有好消息吗？（转） 1768527078 舞出精彩
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
' m3 f# P. w% V& |5 x8 c0 ~! t4 I1 d9 L" j/ y* D3 N$ W2 v8 p
比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？# @ T: V# L/ B; O# O& t2 p4 V
我们认为至少有以下几个原因：
2 n* ?6 z4 h/ ]
$ J: ?% @) r0 F( {1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
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没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过
1 ?4 x, {: l, f2 u6 O# M0 f7 L
& \+ z! J* I1 X% N8 r' |' _% |中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全
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去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长' ^9 O! t- D6 p: c( G" q& W% ^
6 J7 H" U9 |' P9 P- ^8 ]% A" U
5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH 0 i5 @+ j9 f0 ~( m
! `9 D9 F* ^/ q. c: oLayer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和; [4 T0 R# `: s' e! \) N- q
$ I/ z9 [, Q( L( z
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿5 [8 c! z8 M% K$ `8 h0 ]7 M
9 I$ i% ^8 L5 o( e
美金）。. _7 G$ |- e& o/ A. P; R. A6 m
# | T, K9 Q- R
2 q- L6 Y# \ u- W d2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
7 a( q/ U, l+ q1 M3 ^* Z2 E
3 r% v+ H C: |, a比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去$ D$ Q1 t. {" i7 _3 {3 F
6 J& v- ]3 Z4 p" {; y
构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
% e7 z1 ]" |6 G% m; J" Q K
1 d; ~3 t1 P* x" V7 ]/ ^3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
0 v. U1 A" m U A& t
) U0 Q2 ?; q. B尤其大资金的信任和青睐。
" |* r7 c T9 @# d) N5 P8 ?& L! J
) e" h. S! _5 y$ V0 o4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
- k) T) @- P2 j" s, E% N" W2 d1 Q& A1 Y' J' l8 _
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
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: v, c, h/ K, m* J: F# e3 s果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
$ L% q% t0 R2 s9 I# A& W0 o1 D* e, C! f
金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。- g; i- C! d" s1 v
- \7 e; N# H" n w7 P/ n) L
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. a9 A2 A" U6 Q* ^. q- ~: T* u2 C
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