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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，比特币生态必将超越以太坊生态（转）
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为什么我们认为比特币Layer2必将超越以太坊Layer2，
4 z" o0 }7 r/ L& j; I) ~2 |2 F' X. e {) C# _, g& R
比特币生态也必将超越以太坊生态？
6 r$ e% w3 x$ P" R我们认为至少有以下几个原因：6 Q- p- c7 V' Y: j9 p
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1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。在
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没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过$ G7 ]# E. Z) @/ k
# F8 q |* o, e. H中心化机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全" ?0 n3 q4 G- k% M! C9 K+ g3 Y
- g0 H+ O* C* v( Z% l( ^" J去中心化的方案出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长
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% ?1 A& E6 I2 \0 _4 C5-10倍以上，体量可以达到325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH 4 |, A. g6 q: @5 g+ u, w
4 V) o: S+ G0 R1 }8 {Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数据包含了跨链的ETH和: M4 E- ~' S' ?
7 p# F5 y) T7 i
ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有达到200亿
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美金）。
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$ q7 x, L4 _/ _2 h& ^+ `
/ r. P3 f5 {3 V% r9 p2、比特币由于天然不是图灵完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态
" q; n! l) `2 J; j2 ~# W. H* N$ T1 J, Q. ^ ]4 }1 h# P* Q
比以太坊更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去& o. t4 o1 k0 [: {& R
e }& a' H/ L/ r5 e% o: p构建各类去中心化的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。
+ K ~8 y8 p4 M0 s7 l- k" j* {& D: N& Y/ c' t* r% R6 d7 l5 H$ f& _
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户
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尤其大资金的信任和青睐。7 f- i4 p. o4 t; ? J. w1 J+ |
3 O( P, H- u; v5 e( Q4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL
* v6 [: E( `0 X4 I! }! @& j( ^- S" V# ^
约200亿美金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如
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果未来10%的BTC进入比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美
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# {( K8 |, g- F5 r金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。
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( {8 E! V7 _1 @9 f& U
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