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[虚拟币交流]
比特币现货ETF获批后，比特币价格有望一路飙升?（转）
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美国证券监管机构终于如市场所预期的那样批准了比特币现货ETF，这些ETF美东时间上周四
1 ~* \, ^5 p/ C: Q
% b I1 n9 I, y+ v: ]. x正式开始交易。这一批准可能将刺激比特币价格继续暴涨，影响全球众多资产管理公司的资产配置4 F' [& z7 `. m( \( y
% s, A6 W- A) V/ |4 k比例，以及刺激加密货币交易所Coinbase(COIN.US)和类似MicroStrategy(MSTR.US)等加密货币公1 G' e& z/ x! R2 T: z
8 D! k" m5 e- C5 S. y& a# W
司的股票价值升值，同时为一些币圈较小规模的初创公司创造出巨额的潜在价值。: Q& D5 E" h9 n
在2024年，6.9万美元这一比特币价格最高历史纪录很可能将被打破。一些业内高管坚称新一轮比
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6 K6 M0 C/ I2 y' |/ N特币牛市已经开始，主要基于两件重磅事件:分别是比特币“减半”事件，以及比特币交易所交易基金. L6 o+ W; [( Z" u% D/ \$ M& f' q
4 H( s2 N5 r! w% J$ ?9 V
(比特币现货ETF)在美国首次获得批准。. Z7 y1 y! Y q! k! N
1 m- y) M6 N4 S0 |- B, [1 T7 r5 | 来自CoinShares的研究主管James Butterfill表示，在美国ZF批准比特币ETF的推动之下，加密货0 y2 V" ~9 A0 f7 y4 }
1 _+ [- e) d5 n' G1 n, }& `. x! V- w; z
币资产的前景将在2024年发生“重大变化”。“这一期待已久的发展将扩大加密货币资产的投资者基础，( I/ U# h0 e& M5 q1 s+ p8 \
5 I9 F2 O. t5 U# f$ b并将其与传统金融市场更紧密地整合在一起，”Butterfill接受媒体采访时表示。
4 ^: f, ]1 j7 |
" O2 ~* C& T% p4 j* s- z“有预测数据显示，从目前资产管理机构管理的资产中增加20%的投资(大约30亿美元)可能会将比特# |* y2 {3 F$ y
3 ]+ k9 I* O1 d/ |* h a币的价格推高至8万美元。”与此同时，Butterfill补充称，全球央行降息的预期也可能在推动比特币价 v* D9 R! k; k
1 Y. {5 x c3 v9 m3 {格走高方面“发挥决定性的作用”。: }" ]$ E- q: `
9 z8 L1 }' w' A+ L( F" A# q在2023年11月，渣打银行(Standard Chartered)发布报告表示，10万美元大关将受到众多ETF获批的大
3 ~8 c% e" M( }/ u- o, J$ ~
+ ]0 v2 ^9 B+ M# F1 q: I! N9 `- ]力推动。该行还表示，减半大事件也将支持比特币价格趋势。早在4月份，渣打银行就发布报告预测称，* S! j3 w8 d* ~0 U* a
( C0 \) v# }' A0 ]+ E' ?
2024年年底比特币有望冲击10万美元。
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8 I1 M- e6 J0 N4 ?自称为加密金融服务公司的Matrixport在11月发布了一份重磅报告，预计比特币到2024年4月将达到
! u- t+ [! ]% w3 s1 V- j9 {9 z q& E6 F. c7 [
63140美元，到2024年年底将达到12.5万美元。
7 O! n$ }3 k" F7 J4 z; e% E6 {2 C a1 J1 g2 M- T: w
“根据我们的通胀模型，预计宏观环境放松仍将是加密货币的强劲推动力。预计通货膨胀率将再次下9 ~& Q7 f1 V* S% A
. v# W2 |2 }; z; @7 Q
降，这可能促使美联储开始降息周期。”“再加上地缘ZZ‘逆流’，因此这种健康的货币支持政策应该
- M. m/ f6 V% p- {5 s& L$ `* ~9 ^. I/ ]+ _0 A! j& y
会在2024年将比特币推向新高。”Matrixport在报告中表示。7 P, L5 Q! a0 A. @3 N2 h a2 H/ ^! F
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