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[天策嗨聊]
大选靠边站，宏观经济主导！比特币未来走势强劲？降息浪潮下冲击12.5万美元目标
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美联储最近降息后，比特币的表现相当强劲，价格一度突破64,000美元，短短几天上涨了近8%。但这次的上涨并非美国总统大选的直接推动，而更多是受到宏观经济条件的影响。 渣打银行的外汇与数字资产研究主管Geoff Kendrick认为，美联储启动降息周期是比特币和数字资产涨势的催化剂之一。他指出，虽然11月的美国总统大选仍然重要，但相比之下，宏观经济因素现在占据了主导地位。美国国债收益率曲线的变化也为比特币提供了支撑，特别是近期美国2年和10年期国债收益率长达793天的倒挂现象结束。 ) ] \' v0 z1 a' N) ]0 L6 \. M
Kendrick特别提到，美国国债收益率曲线陡峭有利于数字资产的表现。此外，他预测，10月比特币现货ETF的资金流入量会反弹，这将成为进一步推高比特币价格的一个力量。
; [1 M& j/ \% E+ H展望未来，无论谁在11月的大选中获胜，Kendrick对比特币的乐观看法没有改变。如果特朗普获胜，比特币的潜在目标价将达到125,000美元；如果贺锦丽胜出，比特币的价格目标将是75,000美元。无论ZZ结果如何，经济条件将继续支撑比特币和数字资产的长期增长。 * D+ p2 T' ^2 \# q( U5 Q" }. p) m0 k
总结来看，尽管ZZ因素对市场有一定影响，但未来比特币的走势将更多取决于宏观经济环境的变化。但投资者们需要注意的是，尽管市场环境利好，大家还是应当关注市场波动和潜在风险，尤其是在全球经济政策调整过程中！ 7 \: Z. B# K5 F# L! L+ l
最后，大家可知道坚持上论坛打卡签到可是有美滋滋的奖励哟，那就是每日签到，可获得1个经验的奖励；连续签到30天，可获得200活跃币奖励；连续签到365天，可获得365活跃币奖励。还等什么？搬砖搬起来咯，要赚活跃币靠自己啦~ |
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从年头吹到年尾会反弹，可是一直都是5-7W中间，不好说什么行情啊，专家的话不能信。 |
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美国大选与比特币走向相关联，本身就是假命题！* y& l3 }5 ~" z- U! W9 }. p
有人不断的拿美国大选来和比特币的走向牵扯起来，特别还整天强调那个疯老头子满嘴的胡言乱语，这真是太搞笑了。把这二者相关联的，不是坏人就是傻子，我认为绝对的是别有用心！8 G$ [+ d6 N2 M
金融市场--包括币圈的炒作和走势，最靠谱的肯定是经济和ZZ形势，当然少不了所谓的庄家操控，怎么的也不必须把一个国家的总统大选或一个候选人的瞎JB扯成天的往一块儿揉吧。如果你要炒币，可不要被这些不良媒体或人牵着鼻子，那个方向可是个坑，走过去是绝对的要倒霉的，百分之百。+ V8 e. j. r! h
炒币不容易，如果再被人忽悠，就成了世界上最大的傻子了。$ z$ l; N. @, e
我不炒币，一是没钱，二是风险超级的大--与股票相比，它连靠谱的监管都没有，我们穷人何苦呢。当然如果你有花不完的钱，或者有超级的自信，那就去吧。毕竟那里的机会也是非常大的，风险与机会共存嘛。9 f7 g( K6 e- b d6 D
美国谁当总统，我都希望它早点完蛋。比特币如果涨跌我也是看热闹。咱就这样轻松的在这里玩一玩多爽啊...... |
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现在基本上是在6w2-6w3 盘整，等看降息后续会不会突破 |
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