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[lastpost] => 2796271 比特币价格在 9 万美元至 9.4 万美元之间波动——一场大行情即将到来（转） 1768234285 叫我十三
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BCA Research表示，投资者开始对美国的“避险资产”地位产生怀疑，而这可能对比特币构成利好。8 Q0 }( G& d* f- ^
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该研究机构在最新给投资者的报告中指出，目前其整体投资组合保持防御性配置——减持股票、增持固定收益资产，并在股票投资中降低对美国
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市场的权重。原因在于，海外投资者正集体“回避”美国资产，担忧美国政策已从“贸易战”转向“资本战”。; [5 \% e( e' B. J% ~$ H, z
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与此同时，BCA也首次将比特币纳入其研究覆盖范围，并将比特币的评级从“减持”上调至“中性”。今年2月，BCA曾出于市场情绪过于乐观的判断而
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“短期看空”比特币。3 _8 `4 `; i7 r, O; H
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“在全球资金撤离美国资产的背景下，比特币有望成为受益者。”报告写道，“市场情绪已经从高点大幅回落。今年以来，活跃交易的比特币在整体已" S! X$ g% C/ k* m% `
' _& j! s1 Q* `2 W7 Q; r实现市值中的占比急剧下降。”
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( M( e' G& {7 L% }1 p. x( g 报告还指出，比特币作为“数字黄金”，正越来越像实物黄金那样表现，在美国资产大规模抛售期间依旧保持坚挺。
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根据Coin Metrics的数据，自4月3日——即特朗普总统宣布初始关税政策的第二天起——比特币已上涨约12%。同期，现货黄金上涨了8%，" s' _2 l5 n* }* |3 O5 w0 v
7 ^3 w4 v$ j- r而纳斯达克综合指数几乎持平。6 O2 u5 W8 h S" F! n. E- Z) B
3 v; X# d) v1 l9 S3 U* u BCA在报告中进一步指出：“虽然美国经济增长目前仍表现坚挺，但关税政策的模糊性，已导致企业资本支出意愿大幅下滑。”此外，“激烈的
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利率波动也再度打击了住宅房地产市场。”: g6 v( }* Y9 N7 z5 ]( G2 j) g
* A( {- k/ p+ U( Q9 w h3 f “尽管特朗普ZF在某些强硬言论上有所收敛，但企业仍迫切需要明确的政策信号，才能恢复投资。”报告写道，“若无法及时提供清晰政策，$ P K, r6 e2 b2 Y* p' ^
3 k- g; T& H; M将可能引发更为严重的经济衰退。”
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